HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Bo Horvat

New York Islanders · C · #14
First-line playerSniper?31 goals on 28.1 expected - a volume shooter
HT
6'1"
WT
225 lb
Age
31
Shoots
L
From
London, CAN
Draft
2013 VAN · R1 #9
84Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
8888pctl
Playmaking?
7474pctl
Transition?
8686pctl
Defense?
4949pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.8486pctl
Goals / GP?
0.4694pctl
Assists / GP?
0.3874pctl
Shots / GP?
3.397pctl
Plus/Minus?
+882pctl
PP Points?
1682pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
13.1%97pctl
ZEIS?
3.9894pctl
PSPL?
0.2386pctl
Def Suppression?
0.4451pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP
Faceoff %?
56.3%88pctl
D-Zone FO %?
51.8%64pctl
Draws / GP
18.096pctl
Take : Give?
0.2827pctl
PP TOI / GP?
3:3496pctl
PK TOI / GP?
1:5884pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 44 GP tracked · 15h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.9 min91pctl
Support received?
18.6 min12pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1036 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$8.50M

cap hit

$9.00M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.5M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Bo Horvat84$8.50MC+$0.5Mthis player
Sam Reinhart85$8.63MC+$0.7M89%
Tim Stützle87$8.35MB+$1.7M89%
Sam Bennett82$8.00MC+$0.3M87%
Mika Zibanejad87$8.50MB+$1.6M87%

Recent form · last 10 games

6 pts · 2 G · 4 A · 27 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs DAL

1P

1G 0A

vs FLA

0P

0G 0A

vs PIT

0P

0G 0A

@ BUF

3P

0G 3A

vs PHI

0P

0G 0A

@ CAR

0P

0G 0A

vs TOR

1P

0G 1A

vs OTT

0P

0G 0A

vs MTL

0P

0G 0A

vs CAR

1P

1G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)725 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 10 of 31 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 31 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 40 blocks · 7 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2014-15Vancouver Canucks68131225-8
2015-16Vancouver Canucks82162440-30
2016-17Vancouver Canucks81203252-7
2017-18Vancouver Canucks64222244-1
2018-19Vancouver Canucks82273461-4
2019-20Vancouver Canucks69223153-15
2020-21Vancouver Canucks56192039-6
2021-22Vancouver Canucks703121523
2022-23Vancouver Canucks493123543
2022-23New York Islanders307916-4
2023-24New York Islanders81333568-1
2024-25New York Islanders81282957-4
2025-26New York Islanders683126578
Career2 teams881300318618-66