Regular season

Joel Nystrom

Carolina Hurricanes · D · #64

Third-pair DDepth Defenseman?10 points and 22 blocks in 38 games in a supporting role

HT: 5'11"
WT: 178 lb
Age: 24
Shoots: R
From: Karlstad, SWE
Draft: 2021 CAR · R7 #219

63Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

3232pctl

6767pctl

6363pctl

1616pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.2649pctl

0.0323pctl

0.2458pctl

1.151pctl

+669pctl

027pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

1.2%7pctl

2.3270pctl

0.2182pctl

Def Suppression?

-0.094pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.581pctl

2.281pctl

Blocks / 100 shifts?

2.70pctl

1.015pctl

0.1610pctl

0:0331pctl

1:0737pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 17 GP tracked · 4h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

59.2%98pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

42.9%22pctl

O-zone deployment?

62%91pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

16.7 min9pctl

Support received?

15.7 min94pctl

D-zone deployment?

38%9pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0317pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.2417pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.2435pctl

0.99×52pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.11/gm92pctl

Pressure escape rate?

8.6%67pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 533 EV min

General Offense

4.5172

5.5282

Shot Setups/60?

1.9284

Chance Setups/60?

1.6984

Primary Contributions/60?

6.4278

Rebounds Created/60?

0.6882

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0034

Center-Lane Setups/60?

1.0184

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.3480

Deflection Setups/60?

0.3484

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.3483

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

2.9383

Rush Offense/60?

6.6570

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.4571

0.6884

0.2381

Deflections/60?

0.0027

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0034

Entries Finished/60?

0.1123

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.0023

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.9223

0.0016

1.9239

Retrieval Success %?

0%16

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0039

Exit Success %?

0%39

Forechecking

0.3444

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0049

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.93M

cap hit

$2.83M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$1.9M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Joel Nystrom	63	Depth Defenseman	10 P · 38 GP	$0.93M	$2.83M	B+$1.9M	this player
Tyler Tucker	61	Depth Defenseman	17 P · 69 GP	$0.93M	$2.35M	B+$1.4M	82%
Max Crozier	67	Depth Defenseman	10 P · 35 GP	$0.82M	$3.91M	A+$3.1M	80%
Henri Jokiharju	61	Depth Defenseman	15 P · 41 GP	$3.00M	$2.35M	C−$0.6M	77%
Nils Lundkvist	60	Depth Defenseman	11 P · 52 GP	$1.25M	$2.12M	B+$0.9M	77%

Chemistry

Finishes from

assisters on Joel’s goals

Jesperi Kotkaniemi11 primary

Creates for

goals Joel assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

3 pts · 1 G · 2 A · 7 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs MTL

1P

0G 1A

vs MTL 01-01

0G 1A · 0 shots · 14:59 TOI

vs COL

0P

0G 0A

vs COL 01-03

0G 0A · 0 shots · 12:56 TOI

@ NJD

0P

0G 0A

@ NJD 01-04

0G 0A · 1 shots · 12:11 TOI

vs DAL

0P

0G 0A

vs DAL 01-06

0G 0A · 1 shots · 16:17 TOI

vs ANA

0P

0G 0A

vs ANA 01-08

0G 0A · 0 shots · 13:37 TOI

@ NJD

0P

0G 0A

@ NJD 01-17

0G 0A · 1 shots · 12:10 TOI

vs BUF

0P

0G 0A

vs BUF 01-19

0G 0A · 1 shots · 13:08 TOI

vs CHI

1P

1G 0A

vs CHI 01-22

1G 0A · 2 shots · 10:43 TOI

@ OTT

0P

0G 0A

@ OTT 01-24

0G 0A · 1 shots · 9:40 TOI

@ NYI

1P

0G 1A

@ NYI 04-14

0G 1A · 0 shots · 15:51 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)148 events shown

Playmaking gravity: 18 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 22 blocks · 2 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2025-26	Carolina Hurricanes	38	1	9	10	6
Career	1 team	38	1	9	10	6