Regular season

Isaac Howard

Edmonton Oilers · LW · #53

Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?5 points in 29 games in a supporting role

HT: 5'10"
WT: 180 lb
Age: 22
Shoots: L
From: Hudson, USA
Draft: 2022 TBL · R1 #31

55Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

3030pctl

2121pctl

3434pctl

1616pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.1710pctl

0.0714pctl

0.1015pctl

1.236pctl

-634pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

4.3%48pctl

1.3334pctl

0.002pctl

Def Suppression?

-0.074pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

7.263pctl

1.413pctl

0.123pctl

1.0010pctl

0:2930pctl

0:004pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 11 GP tracked · 2h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

45.4%19pctl

O-zone deployment?

60%88pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

16.2 min1pctl

Support received?

16.5 min77pctl

D-zone deployment?

40%12pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.004pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.5435pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.3254pctl

0.92×15pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.04/gm99pctl

Pressure escape rate?

5.8%10pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 285 EV min

General Offense

7.5871

8.8561

Shot Setups/60?

1.0557

Chance Setups/60?

1.0568

Primary Contributions/60?

8.6471

Rebounds Created/60?

0.6365

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0035

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.4238

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.4262

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0041

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0029

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.9066

Rush Offense/60?

10.7473

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.8462

1.2671

0.4274

Deflections/60?

0.6327

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0029

Entries Finished/60?

0.6344

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.2129

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.2656

0.0025

1.2669

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0039

Forechecking

1.0527

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0045

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.95M

cap hit

$1.16M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.2M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Isaac Howard	55	Depth Forward	5 P · 29 GP	$0.95M	$1.16M	C+$0.2M	this player
Cole Reinhardt	55	Depth Forward	15 P · 59 GP	$0.81M	$1.16M	C+$0.3M	91%
Nils Hoglander	54	Depth Forward	5 P · 38 GP	$3.00M	$1.03M	D−$2.0M	89%
Tanner Pearson	55	Depth Forward	15 P · 56 GP	-	$1.16M	-	88%
Taylor Ward	56	Depth Forward	7 P · 36 GP	$0.78M	$1.30M	C+$0.5M	88%

Chemistry

Finishes from

assisters on Isaac’s goals

Creates for

goals Isaac assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

2 pts · 0 G · 2 A · 15 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ WPG

0P

0G 0A

@ WPG 01-08

0G 0A · 4 shots · 12:26 TOI

vs LAK

0P

0G 0A

vs LAK 01-10

0G 0A · 0 shots · 10:24 TOI

@ NSH

0P

0G 0A

@ NSH 01-13

0G 0A · 1 shots · 6:14 TOI

vs NYI

0P

0G 0A

vs NYI 01-15

0G 0A · 2 shots · 10:08 TOI

@ VAN

1P

0G 1A

@ VAN 01-17

0G 1A · 0 shots · 13:26 TOI

vs STL

0P

0G 0A

vs STL 01-18

0G 0A · 1 shots · 14:48 TOI

vs NJD

1P

0G 1A

vs NJD 01-20

0G 1A · 0 shots · 12:46 TOI

vs PIT

0P

0G 0A

vs PIT 01-22

0G 0A · 3 shots · 13:46 TOI

vs WSH

0P

0G 0A

vs WSH 01-24

0G 0A · 1 shots · 9:12 TOI

vs COL

0P

0G 0A

vs COL 04-13

0G 0A · 3 shots · 9:56 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)74 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 1 of 2 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 6 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2025-26	Edmonton Oilers	29	2	3	5	-6
Career	1 team	29	2	3	5	-6