Regular season

Leon Draisaitl

Edmonton Oilers · C · #29

EliteDual Threat?35G + 62A - elite at finishing and creating (top ~10% of forwards in both)

HT: 6'2"
WT: 209 lb
Age: 30
Shoots: L
From: Cologne, DEU
Draft: 2014 EDM · R1 #3

94Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

8888pctl

8989pctl

8383pctl

1515pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

1.4999pctl

0.5498pctl

0.9599pctl

2.994pctl

+1389pctl

4299pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

11.3%93pctl

3.5190pctl

0.3095pctl

Def Suppression?

-0.055pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

56.9%91pctl

D-Zone FO %?

53.9%75pctl

17.093pctl

0.2519pctl

3:3696pctl

0:2739pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 35 GP tracked · 12h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

52.1%69pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

53.6%68pctl

O-zone deployment?

62%92pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

18.0 min94pctl

Support received?

19.0 min6pctl

D-zone deployment?

38%8pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.1488pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.5484pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.4779pctl

1.00×57pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.22/gm50pctl

Pressure escape rate?

10.4%92pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1139 EV min

General Offense

5.1638

6.8532

Shot Setups/60?

0.7938

Chance Setups/60?

0.6843

Primary Contributions/60?

5.9536

Rebounds Created/60?

0.4245

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0550

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.1613

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.4776

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0567

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.1662

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.4252

Rush Offense/60?

6.9035

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.5331

0.4215

0.1652

Deflections/60?

0.3210

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.4287

Entries Finished/60?

0.4724

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.4244

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

2.0588

0.7489

1.3281

Retrieval Success %?

36%76

Exit Involvements/60?

0.2190

Exit Success %?

10%85

Forechecking

1.1618

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$14.00M

cap hit

$14.47M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.5M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Leon Draisaitl	94	Dual Threat	97 P · 65 GP	$14.00M	$14.47M	C+$0.5M	this player
Connor McDavid	96	Dual Threat	138 P · 82 GP	$12.50M	$16.12M	A+$3.6M	91%
Martin Necas	92	Top-Six Threat	100 P · 78 GP	$6.50M	$12.83M	A++$6.3M	91%
Nathan MacKinnon	96	Dual Threat	127 P · 80 GP	$12.60M	$16.12M	A+$3.5M	90%
Connor Bedard	89	Dual Threat	75 P · 69 GP	$0.95M	$10.83M	A++$9.9M	87%

Chemistry

Top connection: Connor McDavid · 32 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Leon’s goals

Creates for

goals Leon assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

17 pts · 6 G · 11 A · 25 shots in last 10Cooling off(-1.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ ANA

0P

0G 0A

@ ANA 02-25

0G 0A · 3 shots · 20:35 TOI

@ LAK

4P

1G 3A

@ LAK 02-26

1G 3A · 1 shots · 14:52 TOI

@ SJS

1P

1G 0A

@ SJS 02-28

1G 0A · 5 shots · 21:47 TOI

vs OTT

5P

2G 3A

vs OTT 03-03

2G 3A · 4 shots · 23:08 TOI

vs CAR

1P

0G 1A

vs CAR 03-06

0G 1A · 0 shots · 21:27 TOI

@ VGK

1P

1G 0A

@ VGK 03-08

1G 0A · 2 shots · 20:59 TOI

@ COL

2P

0G 2A

@ COL 03-10

0G 2A · 5 shots · 22:51 TOI

@ DAL

1P

0G 1A

@ DAL 03-12

0G 1A · 0 shots · 17:36 TOI

@ STL

1P

0G 1A

@ STL 03-13

0G 1A · 3 shots · 21:06 TOI

vs NSH

1P

1G 0A

vs NSH 03-15

1G 0A · 2 shots · 3:12 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)637 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 14 of 35 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 25 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 16 blocks · 15 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2014-15	Edmonton Oilers	37	2	7	9	-17
2015-16	Edmonton Oilers	72	19	32	51	-2
2016-17	Edmonton Oilers	82	29	48	77	7
2017-18	Edmonton Oilers	78	25	45	70	-7
2018-19	Edmonton Oilers	82	50	55	105	2
2019-20	Edmonton Oilers	71	43	67	110	-7
2020-21	Edmonton Oilers	56	31	53	84	29
2021-22	Edmonton Oilers	80	55	55	110	17
2022-23	Edmonton Oilers	80	52	76	128	7
2023-24	Edmonton Oilers	81	41	65	106	26
2024-25	Edmonton Oilers	71	52	54	106	32
2025-26	Edmonton Oilers	65	35	62	97	13
Career	1 team	855	434	619	1053	100