Regular season

Matt Savoie

Edmonton Oilers · C · #22

Middle-six playerDepth Forward?37 points in 82 games in a supporting role

HT: 5'10"
WT: 179 lb
Age: 22
Shoots: R
From: St. Albert, CAN
Draft: 2022 BUF · R1 #9

67Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

5959pctl

3838pctl

5050pctl

6464pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.4553pctl

0.2260pctl

0.2350pctl

1.762pctl

+677pctl

763pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

6.7%71pctl

1.9157pctl

0.0624pctl

Def Suppression?

0.4451pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

40.0%10pctl

1.014pctl

0.6293pctl

0:5046pctl

1:3772pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 50 GP tracked · 13h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

49.2%45pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

59.2%88pctl

O-zone deployment?

60%88pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.9 min84pctl

Support received?

18.6 min14pctl

D-zone deployment?

40%12pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0964pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.2071pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.5488pctl

0.92×16pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.19/gm64pctl

Pressure escape rate?

8.4%64pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1012 EV min

General Offense

6.7071

8.7865

Shot Setups/60?

0.4717

Chance Setups/60?

0.3618

Primary Contributions/60?

7.1861

Rebounds Created/60?

0.3027

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0027

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.3021

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.1826

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0672

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.1252

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.3648

Rush Offense/60?

8.2459

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.6546

1.2582

0.3683

Deflections/60?

1.6666

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0631

Entries Finished/60?

1.1378

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.4752

Entry → Chance %?

42%15

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.3665

0.5381

0.8349

Retrieval Success %?

39%78

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0667

Exit Success %?

4%60

Forechecking

1.3623

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.89M

cap hit

$3.68M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$2.8M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Matt Savoie	67	Depth Forward	37 P · 82 GP	$0.89M	$3.68M	A+$2.8M	this player
Pius Suter	67	Depth Forward	29 P · 64 GP	$4.13M	$3.68M	C−$0.4M	90%
Jordan Staal	70	Depth Forward	36 P · 75 GP	$2.92M	$4.50M	B+$1.6M	88%
Oliver Kapanen	68	Depth Forward	37 P · 82 GP	$0.93M	$3.94M	A+$3.0M	87%
Ridly Greig	67	Depth Forward	35 P · 77 GP	$3.25M	$3.68M	C+$0.4M	85%

Chemistry

Top connection: Connor McDavid · 10 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Matt’s goals

Creates for

goals Matt assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

8 pts · 6 G · 2 A · 30 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ VGK

1P

1G 0A

@ VGK 03-26

1G 0A · 4 shots · 18:40 TOI

vs ANA

1P

1G 0A

vs ANA 03-28

1G 0A · 1 shots · 22:29 TOI

vs SEA

0P

0G 0A

vs SEA 03-31

0G 0A · 4 shots · 17:25 TOI

vs CHI

1P

1G 0A

vs CHI 04-02

1G 0A · 5 shots · 19:07 TOI

vs VGK

1P

0G 1A

vs VGK 04-04

0G 1A · 3 shots · 20:31 TOI

@ UTA

0P

0G 0A

@ UTA 04-07

0G 0A · 0 shots · 19:44 TOI

@ SJS

0P

0G 0A

@ SJS 04-08

0G 0A · 3 shots · 16:35 TOI

@ LAK

0P

0G 0A

@ LAK 04-11

0G 0A · 3 shots · 15:14 TOI

vs COL

1P

0G 1A

vs COL 04-13

0G 1A · 1 shots · 18:59 TOI

vs VAN

3P

3G 0A

vs VAN 04-16

3G 0A · 6 shots · 15:59 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)272 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 6 of 18 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 10 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 42 blocks · 13 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2023-24	Buffalo Sabres	1	0	0	0	0
2024-25	Edmonton Oilers	4	0	1	1	-4
2025-26	Edmonton Oilers	82	18	19	37	6
Career	2 teams	87	18	20	38	2