HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Darnell Nurse

San Jose Sharks · D · #25
Second-pair DSteady Blueliner?167 blocks across 82 games of regular duty
HT
6'4"
WT
215 lb
Age
31
Shoots
L
From
Hamilton, CAN
Draft
2013 EDM · R1 #7
77Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
6767pctl
Playmaking?
6060pctl
Transition?
7676pctl
Defense?
7171pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.2956pctl
Goals / GP?
0.0968pctl
Assists / GP?
0.2150pctl
Shots / GP?
2.090pctl
Plus/Minus?
-1213pctl
PP Points?
027pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
2.6%26pctl
ZEIS?
2.3470pctl
PSPL?
0.1563pctl
Def Suppression?
1.2097pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Blocks / GP?
2.0494pctl
Blocks / 60?
5.8290pctl
Hits / 60?
4.877pctl
Take : Give?
0.2233pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:1453pctl
PK TOI / GP?
1:3050pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 50 GP tracked · 18h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.6 min61pctl
Support received?
16.0 min91pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1578 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$9.25M

cap hit

$7.09M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

D

Paying a premium ($2.2M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Darnell Nurse77$9.25MD$2.2Mthis player
Jake Walman77$3.40MA+$3.7M85%
Adam Pelech74$5.75MC+$0.3M85%
Mattias Ekholm76$6.25MC+$0.5M84%
Noah Hanifin76$7.35MC$0.6M84%

Chemistry

Top connection: Leon Draisaitl · 4 goals together

Recent form · last 10 games

3 pts · 0 G · 3 A · 22 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ VGK

0P

0G 0A

vs ANA

0P

0G 0A

vs SEA

0P

0G 0A

vs CHI

1P

0G 1A

vs VGK

0P

0G 0A

@ UTA

1P

0G 1A

@ SJS

0P

0G 0A

@ LAK

0P

0G 0A

vs COL

0P

0G 0A

vs VAN

1P

0G 1A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)540 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 2 of 7 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 32 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 167 blocks · 14 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2014-15Edmonton Oilers2000-2
2015-16Edmonton Oilers693710-13
2016-17Edmonton Oilers4456110
2017-18Edmonton Oilers826202615
2018-19Edmonton Oilers82103141-5
2019-20Edmonton Oilers7152833-2
2020-21Edmonton Oilers5616203627
2021-22Edmonton Oilers719263518
2022-23Edmonton Oilers8212314326
2023-24Edmonton Oilers811022323
2024-25Edmonton Oilers765283311
2025-26Edmonton Oilers8271724-12
Career1 team7988823632466