Regular season

Joakim Kemell

Nashville Predators · RW · #25

Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?3 points in 16 games in a supporting role

HT: 5'11"
WT: 182 lb
Age: 22
Shoots: R
From: Jyvaskyla, FIN
Draft: 2022 NSH · R1 #17

62Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

2727pctl

5151pctl

4646pctl

7070pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.1914pctl

0.0613pctl

0.1321pctl

0.87pctl

+266pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

2.6%26pctl

2.0964pctl

0.2386pctl

Def Suppression?

0.6373pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

4.37pctl

9.080pctl

0.8099pctl

3.2491pctl

0:3531pctl

0:3765pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 15 GP tracked · 3h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

42.7%8pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

60.0%90pctl

O-zone deployment?

40%17pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

16.9 min19pctl

Support received?

16.1 min89pctl

D-zone deployment?

60%83pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.004pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.6741pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.1311pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.06/gm98pctl

Pressure escape rate?

6.6%21pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 148 EV min

General Offense

4.4737

5.6934

Shot Setups/60?

0.8145

Chance Setups/60?

0.4136

Primary Contributions/60?

5.2937

Rebounds Created/60?

0.4147

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0039

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.4141

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.8168

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0044

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.4168

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.2245

Rush Offense/60?

9.3561

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.4136

0.8151

0.0034

Deflections/60?

1.2246

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0035

Entries Finished/60?

1.2265

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.4147

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

0.4132

0.0032

0.4134

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0042

Forechecking

7.3263

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0046

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.89M

cap hit

$2.46M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$1.6M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Joakim Kemell	62	Depth Forward	3 P · 16 GP	$0.89M	$2.46M	B+$1.6M	this player
Jared Wright	61	Depth Forward	4 P · 23 GP	$0.91M	$2.24M	B+$1.3M	88%
Jaroslav Chmelar	61	Depth Forward	6 P · 28 GP	$0.89M	$2.24M	B+$1.3M	85%
Lenni Hameenaho	60	Depth Forward	8 P · 33 GP	$0.95M	$2.03M	B+$1.1M	84%
Tye Kartye	60	Depth Forward	22 P · 64 GP	$1.25M	$2.03M	B+$0.8M	83%

Chemistry

Finishes from

assisters on Joakim’s goals

Creates for

goals Joakim assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

3 pts · 1 G · 2 A · 10 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs SJS

0P

0G 0A

vs SJS 03-24

0G 0A · 2 shots · 13:19 TOI

@ TBL

1P

1G 0A

@ TBL 03-29

1G 0A · 2 shots · 8:16 TOI

@ LAK

0P

0G 0A

@ LAK 04-02

0G 0A · 1 shots · 8:12 TOI

@ SJS

0P

0G 0A

@ SJS 04-04

0G 0A · 2 shots · 7:26 TOI

@ LAK

0P

0G 0A

@ LAK 04-06

0G 0A · 1 shots · 10:11 TOI

@ ANA

2P

0G 2A

@ ANA 04-07

0G 2A · 0 shots · 12:24 TOI

@ UTA

0P

0G 0A

@ UTA 04-09

0G 0A · 1 shots · 13:23 TOI

vs MIN

0P

0G 0A

vs MIN 04-11

0G 0A · 0 shots · 9:48 TOI

vs SJS

0P

0G 0A

vs SJS 04-13

0G 0A · 0 shots · 5:11 TOI

vs ANA

0P

0G 0A

vs ANA 04-16

0G 0A · 1 shots · 13:42 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)34 events shown

Defensive floor: 10 blocks · 1 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2024-25	Nashville Predators	2	0	0	0	0
2025-26	Nashville Predators	16	1	2	3	2
Career	1 team	18	1	2	3	2