Regular season

Zachary L'Heureux

Colorado Avalanche · LW · #68

Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?Energy role: 64 hits (11.5/60)

HT: 5'11"
WT: 197 lb
Age: 23
Shoots: L
From: Montréal, CAN
Draft: 2021 NSH · R1 #27

63Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

4747pctl

4747pctl

5252pctl

4646pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.2015pctl

0.1641pctl

0.042pctl

1.339pctl

+370pctl

135pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

6.5%69pctl

1.8454pctl

0.2790pctl

Def Suppression?

0.3642pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

5.731pctl

11.585pctl

0.3154pctl

2.6882pctl

0:2728pctl

1:5191pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 21 GP tracked · 5h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

52.1%69pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

72.7%100pctl

O-zone deployment?

36%10pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.8 min80pctl

Support received?

17.3 min50pctl

D-zone deployment?

64%90pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0859pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.6086pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.4271pctl

1.02×69pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.17/gm73pctl

Pressure escape rate?

6.8%24pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 278 EV min

General Offense

5.4146

8.8761

Shot Setups/60?

0.8646

Chance Setups/60?

0.6543

Primary Contributions/60?

6.2746

Rebounds Created/60?

0.2230

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0035

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.4339

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.2238

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0041

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.2266

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.0837

Rush Offense/60?

8.6560

Shots off HD Setups/60?

1.7377

1.3072

0.4375

Deflections/60?

1.0839

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0029

Entries Finished/60?

0.8658

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.6566

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.5166

0.0025

1.5174

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0039

Forechecking

9.7372

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0045

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.86M

cap hit

$2.68M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$1.8M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Zachary L'Heureux	63	Depth Forward	5 P · 25 GP	$0.86M	$2.68M	B+$1.8M	this player
Pontus Holmberg	64	Depth Forward	22 P · 70 GP	$1.55M	$2.92M	B+$1.4M	91%
Drew O'Connor	66	Depth Forward	29 P · 82 GP	$2.50M	$3.42M	B+$0.9M	87%
Nicholas Robertson	65	Depth Forward	32 P · 78 GP	$1.82M	$3.17M	B+$1.3M	86%
Alexandre Texier	64	Depth Forward	21 P · 51 GP	$2.10M	$2.92M	B+$0.8M	86%

Chemistry

Finishes from

assisters on Zachary’s goals

Creates for

goals Zachary assisted on

Erik Haula11 as primary

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

4 pts · 3 G · 1 A · 18 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs MTL

1P

1G 0A

vs MTL 03-28

1G 0A · 2 shots · 13:45 TOI

@ TBL

0P

0G 0A

@ TBL 03-29

0G 0A · 4 shots · 14:24 TOI

@ LAK

1P

1G 0A

@ LAK 04-02

1G 0A · 2 shots · 16:55 TOI

@ SJS

0P

0G 0A

@ SJS 04-04

0G 0A · 1 shots · 15:23 TOI

@ LAK

0P

0G 0A

@ LAK 04-06

0G 0A · 2 shots · 13:49 TOI

@ ANA

1P

1G 0A

@ ANA 04-07

1G 0A · 1 shots · 13:44 TOI

@ UTA

1P

0G 1A

@ UTA 04-09

0G 1A · 5 shots · 15:19 TOI

vs MIN

0P

0G 0A

vs MIN 04-11

0G 0A · 0 shots · 13:09 TOI

vs SJS

0P

0G 0A

vs SJS 04-13

0G 0A · 1 shots · 10:02 TOI

vs ANA

0P

0G 0A

vs ANA 04-16

0G 0A · 0 shots · 16:46 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)64 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 2 of 4 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 7 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 21 blocks · 0 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2024-25	Nashville Predators	62	5	10	15	-6
2025-26	Nashville Predators	25	4	1	5	3
Career	1 team	87	9	11	20	-3