HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Filip Forsberg

Nashville Predators · LW · #9
First-line playerTransition Engine?ZEIS 5.79 with 240 rush shots - turns defense into offense
HT
6'1"
WT
205 lb
Age
31
Shoots
R
From
Ostervala, SWE
Draft
2012 WSH · R1 #11
85Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
8585pctl
Playmaking?
7878pctl
Transition?
9191pctl
Defense?
4040pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.9191pctl
Goals / GP?
0.4996pctl
Assists / GP?
0.4380pctl
Shots / GP?
3.095pctl
Plus/Minus?
-250pctl
PP Points?
2694pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
10.9%91pctl
ZEIS?
5.79100pctl
PSPL?
0.2487pctl
Def Suppression?
0.2223pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP
Shots / 60?
9.594pctl
Hits / 60?
4.857pctl
Take : Give?
0.4681pctl
Blocks / 60?
1.2725pctl
PP TOI / GP?
3:0285pctl
PK TOI / GP?
0:0131pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 52 GP tracked · 16h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.8 min83pctl
Support received?
18.3 min20pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1299 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$8.50M

cap hit

$9.36M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$0.9M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Filip Forsberg85$8.50MB+$0.9Mthis player
Adrian Kempe85$5.50MA+$3.9M94%
Kirill Marchenko85$3.85MA++$5.5M92%
Troy Terry85$7.00MA+$2.4M90%
Pavel Dorofeyev83$1.83MA++$6.8M89%

Recent form · last 10 games

10 pts · 7 G · 3 A · 25 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.8 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs MTL

0P

0G 0A

@ TBL

2P

1G 1A

@ LAK

1P

1G 0A

@ SJS

3P

2G 1A

@ LAK

1P

0G 1A

@ ANA

1P

1G 0A

@ UTA

0P

0G 0A

vs MIN

0P

0G 0A

vs SJS

0P

0G 0A

vs ANA

2P

2G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)556 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 10 of 40 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 40 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 39 blocks · 11 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2012-13Nashville Predators5011-5
2013-14Nashville Predators13145-8
2014-15Nashville Predators8226376315
2015-16Nashville Predators823331641
2016-17Nashville Predators82312758-4
2017-18Nashville Predators6726386427
2018-19Nashville Predators642822508
2019-20Nashville Predators63212748-7
2020-21Nashville Predators39122032-9
2021-22Nashville Predators6942428412
2022-23Nashville Predators50192342-4
2023-24Nashville Predators8248469416
2024-25Nashville Predators82314576-27
2025-26Nashville Predators82403575-2
Career1 team86235839875613