Regular season

Nick Lardis

Chicago Blackhawks · LW · #76

Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?15 points in 41 games in a supporting role

HT: 5'11"
WT: 165 lb
Age: 21
Shoots: L
From: Oakville, CAN
Draft: 2023 CHI · R3 #67

62Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

5555pctl

2020pctl

5151pctl

3333pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.3740pctl

0.2467pctl

0.1219pctl

1.446pctl

-187pctl

346pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

6.7%71pctl

1.9157pctl

0.016pctl

Def Suppression?

0.2627pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

6.648pctl

6.668pctl

0.2638pctl

1.3829pctl

1:2747pctl

0:0015pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 31 GP tracked · 7h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

42.8%8pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

32.3%4pctl

O-zone deployment?

56%78pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.1 min27pctl

Support received?

17.0 min58pctl

D-zone deployment?

44%22pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0533pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.5536pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.2742pctl

0.96×31pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.15/gm81pctl

Pressure escape rate?

7.2%34pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 460 EV min

General Offense

5.6149

8.6061

Shot Setups/60?

0.3920

Chance Setups/60?

0.2620

Primary Contributions/60?

6.0039

Rebounds Created/60?

0.1320

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0032

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.2624

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.2642

Deflection Setups/60?

0.1379

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0024

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

0.9128

Rush Offense/60?

8.3459

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.9168

0.6538

0.1346

Deflections/60?

0.5220

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.1353

Entries Finished/60?

0.5232

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.2629

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

0.9136

0.2648

0.6536

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0037

Forechecking

5.2163

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0043

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.86M

cap hit

$2.46M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$1.6M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Nick Lardis	62	Depth Forward	15 P · 41 GP	$0.86M	$2.46M	B+$1.6M	this player
Isak Rosen	59	Depth Forward	10 P · 37 GP	$0.89M	$1.83M	B+$0.9M	82%
Nick Paul	61	Depth Forward	15 P · 51 GP	$3.15M	$2.24M	D−$0.9M	81%
David Tomasek	60	Depth Forward	5 P · 22 GP	-	$2.03M	-	80%
Warren Foegele	61	Depth Forward	17 P · 68 GP	$3.50M	$2.24M	D−$1.3M	79%

Chemistry

Top connection: Tyler Bertuzzi · 4 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Nick’s goals

Creates for

goals Nick assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

3 pts · 3 G · 0 A · 19 shots in last 10Steady(-0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ NYR

1P

1G 0A

@ NYR 03-27

1G 0A · 2 shots · 10:57 TOI

@ NJD

0P

0G 0A

@ NJD 03-29

0G 0A · 4 shots · 15:37 TOI

vs WPG

0P

0G 0A

vs WPG 03-31

0G 0A · 1 shots · 14:46 TOI

@ EDM

1P

1G 0A

@ EDM 04-02

1G 0A · 3 shots · 13:35 TOI

@ SEA

0P

0G 0A

@ SEA 04-04

0G 0A · 3 shots · 14:12 TOI

@ SJS

0P

0G 0A

@ SJS 04-06

0G 0A · 1 shots · 13:03 TOI

vs CAR

0P

0G 0A

vs CAR 04-09

0G 0A · 3 shots · 16:32 TOI

vs STL

0P

0G 0A

vs STL 04-11

0G 0A · 0 shots · 13:27 TOI

vs BUF

0P

0G 0A

vs BUF 04-13

0G 0A · 1 shots · 15:18 TOI

vs SJS

1P

1G 0A

vs SJS 04-15

1G 0A · 1 shots · 13:59 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)121 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 5 of 10 goals live there

Defensive floor: 15 blocks · 2 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2025-26	Chicago Blackhawks	41	10	5	15	-18
Career	1 team	41	10	5	15	-18