Regular season

Isak Rosen

Winnipeg Jets · RW · #27

Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?10 points in 37 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'0"
WT: 185 lb
Age: 23
Shoots: L
From: Solna, SWE
Draft: 2021 BUF · R1 #14

59Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

3636pctl

2525pctl

4949pctl

4040pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.2729pctl

0.1642pctl

0.1116pctl

0.918pctl

-539pctl

346pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

4.4%48pctl

1.9961pctl

0.0519pctl

Def Suppression?

0.3236pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

4.915pctl

2.428pctl

0.2844pctl

2.8184pctl

1:3452pctl

0:004pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 30 GP tracked · 6h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

45.2%18pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

47.1%37pctl

O-zone deployment?

55%74pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

16.9 min17pctl

Support received?

16.4 min81pctl

D-zone deployment?

45%26pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0859pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.7345pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.2232pctl

0.87×5pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.25/gm37pctl

Pressure escape rate?

6.8%25pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 368 EV min

General Offense

4.4029

7.6749

Shot Setups/60?

0.9852

Chance Setups/60?

0.8255

Primary Contributions/60?

5.3831

Rebounds Created/60?

0.4954

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0033

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.4943

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.6578

Deflection Setups/60?

0.1678

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.3377

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.6359

Rush Offense/60?

8.6561

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.6547

0.6539

0.1652

Deflections/60?

0.8228

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0026

Entries Finished/60?

0.1621

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.0020

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.3158

0.1637

1.1467

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0038

Forechecking

1.7934

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0044

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.89M

cap hit

$1.83M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$0.9M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Isak Rosen	59	Depth Forward	10 P · 37 GP	$0.89M	$1.83M	B+$0.9M	this player
Stefan Noesen	57	Depth Forward	7 P · 38 GP	$2.75M	$1.46M	D−$1.3M	90%
David Tomasek	60	Depth Forward	5 P · 22 GP	-	$2.03M	-	86%
Nick Paul	61	Depth Forward	15 P · 51 GP	$3.15M	$2.24M	D−$0.9M	85%
Nick Lardis	62	Depth Forward	15 P · 41 GP	$0.86M	$2.46M	B+$1.6M	82%

Chemistry

Top connection: Noah Ostlund · 3 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Isak’s goals

Creates for

goals Isak assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

2 pts · 2 G · 0 A · 10 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ COL

0P

0G 0A

@ COL 03-28

0G 0A · 0 shots · 5:32 TOI

@ CHI

1P

1G 0A

@ CHI 03-31

1G 0A · 1 shots · 7:25 TOI

@ DAL

0P

0G 0A

@ DAL 04-02

0G 0A · 1 shots · 10:09 TOI

@ CBJ

0P

0G 0A

@ CBJ 04-04

0G 0A · 0 shots · 11:40 TOI

vs SEA

0P

0G 0A

vs SEA 04-06

0G 0A · 1 shots · 10:05 TOI

@ STL

0P

0G 0A

@ STL 04-09

0G 0A · 1 shots · 7:49 TOI

vs PHI

0P

0G 0A

vs PHI 04-11

0G 0A · 1 shots · 13:28 TOI

@ VGK

0P

0G 0A

@ VGK 04-13

0G 0A · 2 shots · 12:29 TOI

@ UTA

1P

1G 0A

@ UTA 04-14

1G 0A · 1 shots · 11:48 TOI

vs SJS

0P

0G 0A

vs SJS 04-16

0G 0A · 2 shots · 13:25 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)96 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 3 of 6 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 7 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 21 blocks · 1 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2023-24	Buffalo Sabres	7	0	0	0	-3
2024-25	Buffalo Sabres	8	0	1	1	-3
2025-26	Buffalo Sabres	16	3	4	7	-3
2025-26	Winnipeg Jets	21	3	0	3	-2
Career	2 teams	52	6	5	11	-11