Regular season

Evan Bouchard

Edmonton Oilers · D · #2

Top-pair DOffensive QB?95 points from the blue line - runs the attack

HT: 6'3"
WT: 192 lb
Age: 26
Shoots: R
From: Oakville, CAN
Draft: 2018 EDM · R1 #10

83Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

9292pctl

9393pctl

8787pctl

3131pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

1.16100pctl

0.2698pctl

0.9099pctl

2.798pctl

+2594pctl

3399pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

6.2%66pctl

2.9684pctl

0.3697pctl

Def Suppression?

0.1718pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

1.2347pctl

2.9914pctl

Blocks / 100 shifts?

4.830pctl

0.88pctl

0.2755pctl

3:3899pctl

1:4863pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 50 GP tracked · 21h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

57.2%94pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

56.0%78pctl

O-zone deployment?

64%94pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

18.1 min96pctl

Support received?

18.6 min13pctl

D-zone deployment?

36%6pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0214pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.4631pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.1824pctl

1.06×89pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.37/gm9pctl

Pressure escape rate?

11.0%95pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1578 EV min

General Offense

5.2986

4.8386

Shot Setups/60?

1.5292

Chance Setups/60?

1.1889

Primary Contributions/60?

6.8189

Rebounds Created/60?

0.6186

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0456

Center-Lane Setups/60?

1.1093

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.3488

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0461

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.2788

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

2.4786

Rush Offense/60?

7.5783

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.1931

0.0414

0.0860

Deflections/60?

0.0436

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0454

Entries Finished/60?

0.2337

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.1154

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

2.8960

0.5365

2.3660

Retrieval Success %?

18%54

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0468

Exit Success %?

1%68

Forechecking

0.2325

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0048

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$10.50M

cap hit

$9.28M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

D

Paying a premium (−$1.2M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Evan Bouchard	83	Offensive QB	95 P · 82 GP	$10.50M	$9.28M	D−$1.2M	this player
Rasmus Dahlin	82	Offensive QB	74 P · 77 GP	$11.00M	$8.90M	D−$2.1M	96%
Zach Werenski	83	Offensive QB	81 P · 75 GP	$9.58M	$9.28M	C−$0.3M	91%
Darren Raddysh	80	Offensive QB	70 P · 73 GP	$0.97M	$8.16M	A++$7.2M	90%
Erik Karlsson	81	Offensive QB	66 P · 75 GP	$11.50M	$8.53M	F−$3.0M	90%

Chemistry

Top connection: Connor McDavid · 35 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Evan’s goals

Creates for

goals Evan assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

13 pts · 2 G · 11 A · 20 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ VGK

2P

1G 1A

@ VGK 03-26

1G 1A · 2 shots · 23:31 TOI

vs ANA

2P

0G 2A

vs ANA 03-28

0G 2A · 5 shots · 26:18 TOI

vs SEA

0P

0G 0A

vs SEA 03-31

0G 0A · 1 shots · 21:18 TOI

vs CHI

1P

0G 1A

vs CHI 04-02

0G 1A · 2 shots · 23:10 TOI

vs VGK

1P

1G 0A

vs VGK 04-04

1G 0A · 4 shots · 24:10 TOI

@ UTA

1P

0G 1A

@ UTA 04-07

0G 1A · 0 shots · 22:33 TOI

@ SJS

2P

0G 2A

@ SJS 04-08

0G 2A · 0 shots · 22:32 TOI

@ LAK

0P

0G 0A

@ LAK 04-11

0G 0A · 1 shots · 27:36 TOI

vs COL

1P

0G 1A

vs COL 04-13

0G 1A · 3 shots · 30:31 TOI

vs VAN

3P

0G 3A

vs VAN 04-16

0G 3A · 2 shots · 21:52 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)602 events shown

The office: the high slot - 8 of 21 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 47 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 100 blocks · 20 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2018-19	Edmonton Oilers	7	1	0	1	-5
2020-21	Edmonton Oilers	14	2	3	5	-2
2021-22	Edmonton Oilers	81	12	31	43	10
2022-23	Edmonton Oilers	82	8	32	40	6
2023-24	Edmonton Oilers	81	18	64	82	34
2024-25	Edmonton Oilers	82	14	53	67	14
2025-26	Edmonton Oilers	82	21	74	95	25
Career	1 team	429	76	257	333	82