HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Michael McCarron

Minnesota Wild · C · #47
Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?Energy role: 205 hits (11.1/60)
HT
6'6"
WT
232 lb
Age
31
Shoots
R
From
Grosse Pointe, USA
Draft
2013 MTL · R1 #25
56Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
3232pctl
Playmaking?
2121pctl
Transition?
2727pctl
Defense?
9090pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.2217pctl
Goals / GP?
0.1024pctl
Assists / GP?
0.1117pctl
Shots / GP?
1.445pctl
Plus/Minus?
-1610pctl
PP Points?
016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
4.9%55pctl
ZEIS?
1.2330pctl
PSPL?
0.0519pctl
Def Suppression?
0.9691pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP
Faceoff %?
52.5%71pctl
D-Zone FO %?
55.6%84pctl
Draws / GP
12.675pctl
Take : Give?
0.6394pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:0525pctl
PK TOI / GP?
2:1994pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 50 GP tracked · 12h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.2 min38pctl
Support received?
16.7 min69pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 920 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.90M

cap hit

$1.30M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.4M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Michael McCarron56$0.90MC+$0.4Mthis player
Michael Rasmussen56$3.20MD$1.9M90%
Colton Sissons55$2.86MD$1.7M86%
Nic Dowd57$3.00MD$1.5M84%
Jack Drury61$1.73MC+$0.5M83%

Chemistry

Top connection: Cole Smith · 4 goals together

Recent form · last 10 games

2 pts · 2 G · 0 A · 15 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ FLA

0P

0G 0A

@ BOS

0P

0G 0A

vs VAN

0P

0G 0A

@ OTT

0P

0G 0A

@ DET

0P

0G 0A

vs SEA

0P

0G 0A

@ DAL

0P

0G 0A

@ NSH

1P

1G 0A

@ STL

1P

1G 0A

vs ANA

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)465 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 5 of 8 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 16 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 88 blocks · 10 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2015-16Montréal Canadiens20112-10
2016-17Montréal Canadiens31145-4
2017-18Montréal Canadiens18011-1
2020-21Nashville Predators60001
2021-22Nashville Predators51771410
2022-23Nashville Predators32224-3
2023-24Nashville Predators701210224
2024-25Nashville Predators745914-21
2025-26Nashville Predators595712-15
2025-26Minnesota Wild20325-1
Career3 teams381364379-40