Regular season

Andrei Svechnikov

Carolina Hurricanes · RW · #37

Top-six playerSniper?31 goals on 28.1 expected - a volume shooter

HT: 6'3"
WT: 200 lb
Age: 26
Shoots: L
From: Barnaul, RUS
Draft: 2018 CAR · R1 #2

83Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

8484pctl

6969pctl

8585pctl

1919pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.8988pctl

0.3989pctl

0.4987pctl

2.689pctl

+163pctl

2996pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

9.6%85pctl

3.9994pctl

0.1563pctl

Def Suppression?

0.0911pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

9.190pctl

6.669pctl

0.2532pctl

0.712pctl

2:5883pctl

0:0014pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 48 GP tracked · 14h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

59.8%98pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

54.8%74pctl

O-zone deployment?

61%91pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

18.1 min95pctl

Support received?

19.0 min7pctl

D-zone deployment?

39%9pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.1383pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.5083pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.4778pctl

1.01×62pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.13/gm87pctl

Pressure escape rate?

11.5%97pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1107 EV min

General Offense

7.6483

10.3683

Shot Setups/60?

0.9853

Chance Setups/60?

0.7046

Primary Contributions/60?

8.6281

Rebounds Created/60?

0.4347

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0552

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.4940

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.5481

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0036

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.1663

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

2.3987

Rush Offense/60?

10.8485

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.8166

0.8152

0.3382

Deflections/60?

0.8724

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.1661

Entries Finished/60?

0.8763

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.4346

Entry → Chance %?

50%24

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.4168

0.3866

1.0366

Retrieval Success %?

27%55

Exit Involvements/60?

0.1179

Exit Success %?

8%75

Forechecking

6.5174

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$7.75M

cap hit

$8.65M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$0.9M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Andrei Svechnikov	83	Sniper	70 P · 79 GP	$7.75M	$8.65M	B+$0.9M	this player
Dylan Guenther	85	Sniper	73 P · 79 GP	$7.14M	$9.36M	A+$2.2M	92%
Cutter Gauthier	86	Sniper	69 P · 76 GP	$0.95M	$9.72M	A++$8.8M	89%
Travis Konecny	82	Middle-Six Engine	68 P · 77 GP	$8.75M	$8.30M	C−$0.5M	87%
Pavel Dorofeyev	83	Sniper	64 P · 82 GP	$1.83M	$8.65M	A++$6.8M	85%

Chemistry

Top connection: Sebastian Aho · 24 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Andrei’s goals

Creates for

goals Andrei assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

11 pts · 6 G · 5 A · 29 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ PIT

1P

0G 1A

@ PIT 03-22

0G 1A · 5 shots · 17:17 TOI

@ MTL

1P

0G 1A

@ MTL 03-24

0G 1A · 0 shots · 17:54 TOI

vs NJD

0P

0G 0A

vs NJD 03-28

0G 0A · 2 shots · 16:41 TOI

vs MTL

1P

1G 0A

vs MTL 03-29

1G 0A · 4 shots · 16:56 TOI

@ CBJ

2P

1G 1A

@ CBJ 03-31

1G 1A · 1 shots · 16:29 TOI

vs CBJ

1P

1G 0A

vs CBJ 04-02

1G 0A · 1 shots · 15:59 TOI

vs NYI

1P

0G 1A

vs NYI 04-04

0G 1A · 2 shots · 16:55 TOI

@ OTT

1P

1G 0A

@ OTT 04-05

1G 0A · 4 shots · 16:12 TOI

vs BOS

2P

1G 1A

vs BOS 04-07

1G 1A · 5 shots · 15:17 TOI

@ UTA

1P

1G 0A

@ UTA 04-11

1G 0A · 5 shots · 16:37 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)427 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 12 of 31 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 30 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 27 blocks · 7 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2018-19	Carolina Hurricanes	82	20	17	37	0
2019-20	Carolina Hurricanes	68	24	37	61	9
2020-21	Carolina Hurricanes	55	15	27	42	1
2021-22	Carolina Hurricanes	78	30	39	69	19
2022-23	Carolina Hurricanes	64	23	32	55	6
2023-24	Carolina Hurricanes	59	19	33	52	13
2024-25	Carolina Hurricanes	72	20	28	48	-8
2025-26	Carolina Hurricanes	79	31	39	70	1
Career	1 team	557	182	252	434	41