Regular season

Alex Killorn

Anaheim Ducks · LW · #17

Middle-six playerDepth Forward?33 points in 82 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'1"
WT: 205 lb
Age: 36
Shoots: L
From: Halifax, CAN
Draft: 2007 TBL · R3 #77

67Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

5050pctl

6363pctl

4646pctl

3131pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.4046pctl

0.1848pctl

0.2246pctl

1.866pctl

-250pctl

555pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

6%64pctl

1.7450pctl

0.2487pctl

Def Suppression?

0.2021pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

6.545pctl

3.139pctl

0.3357pctl

1.3128pctl

1:2849pctl

2:1898pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 49 GP tracked · 14h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

53.0%76pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

47.3%39pctl

O-zone deployment?

50%51pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.4 min45pctl

Support received?

18.0 min29pctl

D-zone deployment?

50%49pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0753pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.4080pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.3048pctl

1.01×65pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.21/gm54pctl

Pressure escape rate?

8.8%70pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1061 EV min

General Offense

6.6770

7.5246

Shot Setups/60?

1.4183

Chance Setups/60?

1.2486

Primary Contributions/60?

8.0974

Rebounds Created/60?

0.7984

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0027

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.7974

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.5783

Deflection Setups/60?

0.1183

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.2375

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.3648

Rush Offense/60?

8.3161

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.7456

0.7950

0.1139

Deflections/60?

2.0480

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.1763

Entries Finished/60?

0.5733

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.4041

Entry → Chance %?

70%65

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

0.9637

0.2342

0.7440

Retrieval Success %?

24%44

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0034

Exit Success %?

0%30

Forechecking

3.4550

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$6.25M

cap hit

$3.68M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

F

Well above market (−$2.6M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Alex Killorn	67	Depth Forward	33 P · 82 GP	$6.25M	$3.68M	F−$2.6M	this player
Marcus Johansson	71	Middle-Six Engine	49 P · 75 GP	-	$4.78M	-	88%
Kaapo Kakko	69	Depth Forward	40 P · 65 GP	$4.53M	$4.22M	C−$0.3M	87%
Easton Cowan	65	Depth Forward	29 P · 66 GP	$0.87M	$3.17M	A+$2.3M	86%
Claude Giroux	71	Depth Forward	49 P · 82 GP	$2.00M	$4.78M	A+$2.8M	85%

Chemistry

Top connection: Beckett Sennecke · 5 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Alex’s goals

Creates for

goals Alex assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

5 pts · 3 G · 2 A · 15 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ EDM

0P

0G 0A

@ EDM 03-28

0G 0A · 0 shots · 18:20 TOI

vs TOR

0P

0G 0A

vs TOR 03-30

0G 0A · 0 shots · 18:37 TOI

@ SJS

1P

1G 0A

@ SJS 04-01

1G 0A · 2 shots · 17:29 TOI

vs STL

0P

0G 0A

vs STL 04-03

0G 0A · 1 shots · 17:38 TOI

vs CGY

1P

0G 1A

vs CGY 04-04

0G 1A · 0 shots · 18:14 TOI

vs NSH

0P

0G 0A

vs NSH 04-07

0G 0A · 2 shots · 15:29 TOI

vs SJS

1P

1G 0A

vs SJS 04-09

1G 0A · 2 shots · 14:22 TOI

vs VAN

1P

0G 1A

vs VAN 04-12

0G 1A · 3 shots · 19:49 TOI

@ MIN

0P

0G 0A

@ MIN 04-14

0G 0A · 2 shots · 20:24 TOI

@ NSH

1P

1G 0A

@ NSH 04-16

1G 0A · 3 shots · 19:39 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)262 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 5 of 15 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 26 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 39 blocks · 7 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2012-13	Tampa Bay Lightning	38	7	12	19	-6
2013-14	Tampa Bay Lightning	82	17	24	41	8
2014-15	Tampa Bay Lightning	71	15	23	38	8
2015-16	Tampa Bay Lightning	81	14	26	40	14
2016-17	Tampa Bay Lightning	81	19	17	36	-9
2017-18	Tampa Bay Lightning	82	15	32	47	22
2018-19	Tampa Bay Lightning	82	18	22	40	22
2019-20	Tampa Bay Lightning	68	26	23	49	19
2020-21	Tampa Bay Lightning	56	15	18	33	-1
2021-22	Tampa Bay Lightning	82	25	34	59	1
2022-23	Tampa Bay Lightning	82	27	37	64	18
2023-24	Anaheim Ducks	63	18	18	36	-15
2024-25	Anaheim Ducks	82	19	18	37	12
2025-26	Anaheim Ducks	82	15	18	33	-2
Career	2 teams	1032	250	322	572	91