Regular season

Cutter Gauthier

Anaheim Ducks · LW · #61

First-line playerSniper?41 goals on 29.4 expected - finishes above his chances

HT: 6'2"
WT: 205 lb
Age: 22
Shoots: L
From: Skelleftea, SWE
Draft: 2022 PHI · R1 #5

86Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

9090pctl

7979pctl

9292pctl

1919pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.9190pctl

0.5498pctl

0.3772pctl

3.899pctl

-250pctl

1985pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

11.8%95pctl

5.95100pctl

0.3497pctl

Def Suppression?

0.069pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

13.0100pctl

2.936pctl

0.2635pctl

0.915pctl

2:4879pctl

0:1959pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 44 GP tracked · 12h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

51.4%63pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

43.8%25pctl

O-zone deployment?

59%85pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.4 min51pctl

Support received?

18.0 min30pctl

D-zone deployment?

41%15pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.2098pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.3276pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.7296pctl

1.09×94pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.21/gm53pctl

Pressure escape rate?

9.5%83pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1075 EV min

General Offense

10.8391

12.1289

Shot Setups/60?

1.5186

Chance Setups/60?

1.4089

Primary Contributions/60?

12.3491

Rebounds Created/60?

0.5664

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0027

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.6156

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.5682

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0670

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.1147

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

2.6289

Rush Offense/60?

14.5791

Shots off HD Setups/60?

1.0683

1.2883

0.5690

Deflections/60?

1.1234

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.3484

Entries Finished/60?

1.3486

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.7883

Entry → Chance %?

58%39

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.4571

0.2852

1.1775

Retrieval Success %?

19%33

Exit Involvements/60?

0.1180

Exit Success %?

8%75

Forechecking

2.2334

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.95M

cap hit

$9.72M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A+

Massive surplus value (+$8.8M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Cutter Gauthier	86	Sniper	69 P · 76 GP	$0.95M	$9.72M	A++$8.8M	this player
Dylan Guenther	85	Sniper	73 P · 79 GP	$7.14M	$9.36M	A+$2.2M	90%
Andrei Svechnikov	83	Sniper	70 P · 79 GP	$7.75M	$8.65M	B+$0.9M	89%
Pavel Dorofeyev	83	Sniper	64 P · 82 GP	$1.83M	$8.65M	A++$6.8M	85%
Matthew Tkachuk	87	Top-Six Threat	34 P · 31 GP	$9.50M	$10.09M	C+$0.6M	84%

Chemistry

Top connection: Jackson LaCombe · 17 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Cutter’s goals

Creates for

goals Cutter assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

10 pts · 7 G · 3 A · 39 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs PHI

2P

1G 1A

vs PHI 03-18

1G 1A · 7 shots · 18:35 TOI

@ UTA

1P

1G 0A

@ UTA 03-20

1G 0A · 2 shots · 16:56 TOI

vs BUF

0P

0G 0A

vs BUF 03-22

0G 0A · 2 shots · 16:22 TOI

@ VAN

0P

0G 0A

@ VAN 03-24

0G 0A · 3 shots · 16:50 TOI

@ CGY

1P

0G 1A

@ CGY 03-26

0G 1A · 5 shots · 22:03 TOI

@ EDM

1P

1G 0A

@ EDM 03-28

1G 0A · 5 shots · 15:02 TOI

vs TOR

1P

1G 0A

vs TOR 03-30

1G 0A · 1 shots · 3:20 TOI

vs VAN

2P

2G 0A

vs VAN 04-12

2G 0A · 4 shots · 13:47 TOI

@ MIN

1P

0G 1A

@ MIN 04-14

0G 1A · 4 shots · 18:14 TOI

@ NSH

1P

1G 0A

@ NSH 04-16

1G 0A · 6 shots · 18:19 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)560 events shown

The office: the left circle - 14 of 41 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 43 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 23 blocks · 8 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2023-24	Anaheim Ducks	1	0	1	1	1
2024-25	Anaheim Ducks	82	20	24	44	8
2025-26	Anaheim Ducks	76	41	28	69	-2
Career	1 team	159	61	53	114	7