John Carlson
Tampa Bay Lightning · D · #74- HT
- 6'3"
- WT
- 220 lb
- Age
- 36
- Shoots
- R
- From
- Natick, USA
- Draft
- 2008 WSH · R1 #27
Alpha sub-scores
what drives the rating · percentile vs position groupLeague profile
vs. defensemen with 20+ GPHockeyAlpha advanced
event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzedDefenseman toolkit
vs. defensemen with 20+ GPOn-ice impact
shift charts × our xG model · 42 GP tracked · 16h TOIUsage profile
assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher jobMicro-metrics
Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com
The Blueprint
Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1285 EV minGeneral Offense
Playmaking Sequences
Offense Types
Zone Entries
DZ Retrievals / Exits
Forechecking
Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed.
Contract & market
Contract value?
beta · cap data: CapWages$8.00M
cap hit
$9.66M
Alpha-market value
B
Good value (+$1.7M)
Top comparables?
nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit| Player | Alpha | Archetype | Production | Cap hit | Market | Value | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 John Carlson | 84 | Offensive QB | 60 P · 71 GP | $8.00M | $9.66M | B+$1.7M | this player |
 Jakob Chychrun | 85 | Offensive QB | 60 P · 80 GP | $9.00M | $10.05M | B+$1.1M | 93% |
 Roman Josi | 86 | Offensive QB | 55 P · 68 GP | $9.06M | $10.44M | B+$1.4M | 88% |
 Matthew Schaefer | 85 | Offensive QB | 59 P · 82 GP | $0.97M | $10.05M | A++$9.1M | 88% |
 Adam Fox | 87 | Offensive QB | 53 P · 55 GP | $9.50M | $10.84M | B+$1.3M | 88% |
Chemistry
Top connection: Tom Wilson · 9 goals together
Finishes from
assisters on John’s goals
From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.
Recent form · last 10 games
@ EDM
2P
0G 2A
@ EDM 03-28
0G 2A · 4 shots · 28:07 TOI
vs TOR
1P
1G 0A
vs TOR 03-30
1G 0A · 4 shots · 26:47 TOI
@ SJS
0P
0G 0A
@ SJS 04-01
0G 0A · 2 shots · 26:13 TOI
vs STL
0P
0G 0A
vs STL 04-03
0G 0A · 3 shots · 21:57 TOI
vs CGY
0P
0G 0A
vs CGY 04-04
0G 0A · 6 shots · 23:52 TOI
vs NSH
0P
0G 0A
vs NSH 04-07
0G 0A · 0 shots · 25:04 TOI
vs SJS
3P
3G 0A
vs SJS 04-09
3G 0A · 3 shots · 20:16 TOI
vs VAN
0P
0G 0A
vs VAN 04-12
0G 0A · 2 shots · 26:31 TOI
@ MIN
0P
0G 0A
@ MIN 04-14
0G 0A · 1 shots · 21:43 TOI
@ NSH
2P
0G 2A
@ NSH 04-16
0G 2A · 0 shots · 20:24 TOI
Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left
The Territory
attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end
The office: the high slot - 4 of 14 goals live there
Playmaking gravity: 40 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s
Defensive floor: 104 blocks · 21 steals inside the d-zone
NHL career · regular season
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009-10 | Washington Capitals | 22 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 11 |
| 2010-11 | Washington Capitals | 82 | 7 | 30 | 37 | 21 |
| 2011-12 | Washington Capitals | 82 | 9 | 23 | 32 | -15 |
| 2012-13 | Washington Capitals | 48 | 6 | 16 | 22 | 11 |
| 2013-14 | Washington Capitals | 82 | 10 | 27 | 37 | -3 |
| 2014-15 | Washington Capitals | 82 | 12 | 43 | 55 | 11 |
| 2015-16 | Washington Capitals | 56 | 8 | 31 | 39 | 16 |
| 2016-17 | Washington Capitals | 72 | 9 | 28 | 37 | 7 |
| 2017-18 | Washington Capitals | 82 | 15 | 53 | 68 | 0 |
| 2018-19 | Washington Capitals | 80 | 13 | 57 | 70 | 21 |
| 2019-20 | Washington Capitals | 69 | 15 | 60 | 75 | 12 |
| 2020-21 | Washington Capitals | 52 | 10 | 34 | 44 | -5 |
| 2021-22 | Washington Capitals | 78 | 17 | 54 | 71 | 13 |
| 2022-23 | Washington Capitals | 40 | 9 | 20 | 29 | -7 |
| 2023-24 | Washington Capitals | 82 | 10 | 42 | 52 | -7 |
| 2024-25 | Washington Capitals | 79 | 5 | 46 | 51 | 17 |
| 2025-26 | Washington Capitals | 55 | 10 | 36 | 46 | 11 |
| 2025-26 | Anaheim Ducks | 16 | 4 | 10 | 14 | -2 |
| Career | 2 teams | 1159 | 170 | 615 | 785 | 112 |