HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Brayden McNabb

Vegas Golden Knights · D · #3
Second-pair DSteady Blueliner?142 blocks across 63 games of regular duty
HT
6'4"
WT
215 lb
Age
35
Shoots
L
From
Davidson, CAN
Draft
2009 BUF · R3 #66
75Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
6363pctl
Playmaking?
2121pctl
Transition?
6767pctl
Defense?
8585pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.1926pctl
Goals / GP?
0.0866pctl
Assists / GP?
0.1114pctl
Shots / GP?
1.363pctl
Plus/Minus?
+254pctl
PP Points?
027pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
2.4%24pctl
ZEIS?
2.0563pctl
PSPL?
0.0414pctl
Def Suppression?
1.78100pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Blocks / GP?
2.2599pctl
Blocks / 60?
6.5897pctl
Hits / 60?
5.183pctl
Take : Give?
0.3275pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:0541pctl
PK TOI / GP?
2:2579pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 43 GP tracked · 15h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.9 min91pctl
Support received?
17.5 min41pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1135 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$3.65M

cap hit

$6.40M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$2.8M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Brayden McNabb75$3.65MA+$2.8Mthis player
Ben Chiarot73$4.75MB+$1.0M87%
Nick Seeler71$2.70MA+$2.4M80%
Kaiden Guhle72$5.55MC$0.1M78%
Adam Pelech74$5.75MC+$0.3M74%

Chemistry

Top connection: Shea Theodore · 3 goals together

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

4 pts · 1 G · 3 A · 16 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs EDM

0P

0G 0A

vs WSH

0P

0G 0A

vs VAN

1P

0G 1A

vs CGY

1P

0G 1A

@ EDM

0P

0G 0A

@ VAN

1P

1G 0A

@ SEA

0P

0G 0A

@ COL

0P

0G 0A

vs WPG

0P

0G 0A

vs SEA

1P

0G 1A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)366 events shown

The office: the perimeter - 2 of 5 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 16 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 142 blocks · 12 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2011-12Buffalo Sabres25178-1
2013-14Buffalo Sabres120001
2014-15Los Angeles Kings712222411
2015-16Los Angeles Kings812121411
2016-17Los Angeles Kings492241
2017-18Vegas Golden Knights765101526
2018-19Vegas Golden Knights814121611
2019-20Vegas Golden Knights712791
2020-21Vegas Golden Knights4126810
2021-22Vegas Golden Knights693151810
2022-23Vegas Golden Knights821161717
2023-24Vegas Golden Knights824222618
2024-25Vegas Golden Knights825152042
2025-26Vegas Golden Knights6357122
Career3 teams88538153191160