HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Jeff Skinner

- · LW · #53
Middle-six playerDepth Forward?13 points in 32 games in a supporting role
HT
5'11"
WT
200 lb
Age
34
Shoots
L
From
Toronto, CAN
Draft
2010 CAR · R1 #7
66Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
4848pctl
Playmaking?
5050pctl
Transition?
6565pctl
Defense?
3232pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.4147pctl
Goals / GP?
0.1950pctl
Assists / GP?
0.2245pctl
Shots / GP?
1.864pctl
Plus/Minus?
-827pctl
PP Points?
450pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
5.9%63pctl
ZEIS?
2.8080pctl
PSPL?
0.1459pctl
Def Suppression?
0.0911pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP
Shots / 60?
8.582pctl
Hits / 60?
2.631pctl
Take : Give?
0.3768pctl
Blocks / 60?
1.6745pctl
PP TOI / GP?
1:4558pctl
PK TOI / GP?
0:004pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 19 GP tracked · 4h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.0 min20pctl
Support received?
17.4 min44pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 339 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Jeff Skinner66--this player
Michael Bunting67--91%
Victor Olofsson65$1.57MB+$1.6M90%
Mackie Samoskevich67$0.78MA+$2.9M88%
Matthew Wood66$0.95MA+$2.5M85%

Chemistry

Top connection: Dmitry Orlov · 3 goals together

Recent form · last 10 games

6 pts · 2 G · 4 A · 16 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.8 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs SEA

0P

0G 0A

@ VGK

0P

0G 0A

@ VAN

0P

0G 0A

@ ANA

0P

0G 0A

vs MIN

1P

1G 0A

vs TBL

2P

0G 2A

vs CBJ

0P

0G 0A

@ LAK

1P

0G 1A

vs DAL

1P

1G 0A

vs VGK

1P

0G 1A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)117 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 2 of 6 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 8 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 15 blocks · 2 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2010-11Carolina Hurricanes823132633
2011-12Carolina Hurricanes64202444-8
2012-13Carolina Hurricanes42131124-21
2013-14Carolina Hurricanes71332154-14
2014-15Carolina Hurricanes77181331-24
2015-16Carolina Hurricanes82282351-2
2016-17Carolina Hurricanes79372663-3
2017-18Carolina Hurricanes82242549-27
2018-19Buffalo Sabres824023630
2019-20Buffalo Sabres5914923-22
2020-21Buffalo Sabres537714-11
2021-22Buffalo Sabres80333063-14
2022-23Buffalo Sabres7935478215
2023-24Buffalo Sabres74242246-2
2024-25Edmonton Oilers721613291
2025-26San Jose Sharks326713-8
Career4 teams1110379333712-137