Regular season

Macklin Celebrini

San Jose Sharks · C · #71

EliteDual Threat?45G + 70A - elite at finishing and creating (top ~10% of forwards in both)

HT: 6'0"
WT: 190 lb
Age: 20
Shoots: L
From: North Vancouver, CAN
Draft: 2024 SJS · R1 #1

96Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

9191pctl

9292pctl

9191pctl

3535pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

1.4099pctl

0.5598pctl

0.8598pctl

3.598pctl

+882pctl

3398pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

14.5%99pctl

4.7298pctl

0.4399pctl

Def Suppression?

0.3033pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

48.6%46pctl

D-Zone FO %?

51.0%61pctl

15.789pctl

0.2727pctl

3:4097pctl

0:1135pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 52 GP tracked · 19h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

51.6%65pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

57.6%82pctl

O-zone deployment?

60%88pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.9 min87pctl

Support received?

18.0 min29pctl

D-zone deployment?

40%12pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.1175pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.1468pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.4068pctl

1.05×84pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.22/gm51pctl

Pressure escape rate?

8.6%67pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1432 EV min

General Offense

7.0077

9.1872

Shot Setups/60?

1.3079

Chance Setups/60?

1.0175

Primary Contributions/60?

8.3077

Rebounds Created/60?

0.7181

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0445

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.8879

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.5986

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0464

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.2173

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.8975

Rush Offense/60?

9.6477

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.4623

0.7545

0.0422

Deflections/60?

0.9225

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.1353

Entries Finished/60?

1.0175

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.5464

Entry → Chance %?

54%33

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.9388

0.5985

1.3483

Retrieval Success %?

30%65

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0458

Exit Success %?

2%52

Forechecking

1.1717

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0475

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.97M

cap hit

$16.12M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A+

Massive surplus value (+$15.1M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Macklin Celebrini	96	Dual Threat	115 P · 82 GP	$0.97M	$16.12M	A++$15.1M	this player
Jack Eichel	92	Playmaker	90 P · 74 GP	$10.00M	$12.83M	A+$2.8M	89%
Jack Hughes	93	Dual Threat	77 P · 61 GP	$8.00M	$13.65M	A++$5.6M	88%
Connor Bedard	89	Dual Threat	75 P · 69 GP	$0.95M	$10.83M	A++$9.9M	87%
Connor McDavid	96	Dual Threat	138 P · 82 GP	$12.50M	$16.12M	A+$3.6M	87%

Chemistry

Top connection: Will Smith · 35 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Macklin’s goals

Creates for

goals Macklin assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

14 pts · 7 G · 7 A · 34 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs ANA

4P

2G 2A

vs ANA 04-01

2G 2A · 4 shots · 24:03 TOI

vs TOR

0P

0G 0A

vs TOR 04-02

0G 0A · 3 shots · 21:06 TOI

vs NSH

1P

1G 0A

vs NSH 04-04

1G 0A · 5 shots · 23:40 TOI

vs CHI

1P

0G 1A

vs CHI 04-06

0G 1A · 3 shots · 22:05 TOI

vs EDM

1P

1G 0A

vs EDM 04-08

1G 0A · 4 shots · 21:48 TOI

@ ANA

0P

0G 0A

@ ANA 04-09

0G 0A · 2 shots · 22:14 TOI

vs VAN

2P

0G 2A

vs VAN 04-11

0G 2A · 5 shots · 22:14 TOI

@ NSH

2P

2G 0A

@ NSH 04-13

2G 0A · 2 shots · 19:34 TOI

@ CHI

0P

0G 0A

@ CHI 04-15

0G 0A · 3 shots · 18:54 TOI

@ WPG

3P

1G 2A

@ WPG 04-16

1G 2A · 3 shots · 14:41 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)878 events shown

The office: the high slot - 12 of 45 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 49 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 58 blocks · 16 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2024-25	San Jose Sharks	70	25	38	63	-31
2025-26	San Jose Sharks	82	45	70	115	8
Career	1 team	152	70	108	178	-23