HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Casey Cizikas

New York Islanders · C · #53
Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?Energy role: 153 hits (9.6/60)
HT
5'11"
WT
191 lb
Age
35
Shoots
L
From
Toronto, CAN
Draft
2009 NYI · R4 #92
55Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
3333pctl
Playmaking?
1515pctl
Transition?
1919pctl
Defense?
5656pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.2218pctl
Goals / GP?
0.1230pctl
Assists / GP?
0.1013pctl
Shots / GP?
1.020pctl
Plus/Minus?
-346pctl
PP Points?
016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
4.7%52pctl
ZEIS?
0.8817pctl
PSPL?
0.028pctl
Def Suppression?
0.5868pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP
Faceoff %?
54.7%82pctl
D-Zone FO %?
54.5%79pctl
Draws / GP
7.954pctl
Take : Give?
0.2013pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:0315pctl
PK TOI / GP?
1:2764pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 52 GP tracked · 10h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
16.7 min7pctl
Support received?
15.9 min92pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 833 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$2.50M

cap hit

$1.16M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

D

Paying a premium ($1.3M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Casey Cizikas55$2.50MD$1.3Mthis player
Nico Sturm56$2.00MC$0.7M92%
Max Sasson56$0.78MC+$0.5M92%
Adam Edstrom55$0.97MC+$0.2M87%
Juuso Parssinen56$1.25MC+$0.1M87%

Recent form · last 10 games

2 pts · 2 G · 0 A · 19 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs DAL

0P

0G 0A

vs FLA

1P

1G 0A

vs PIT

0P

0G 0A

@ BUF

0P

0G 0A

vs PHI

0P

0G 0A

@ CAR

0P

0G 0A

vs TOR

0P

0G 0A

vs OTT

0P

0G 0A

vs MTL

1P

1G 0A

vs CAR

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)406 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 4 of 10 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 12 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 70 blocks · 4 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2011-12New York Islanders150441
2012-13New York Islanders4569150
2013-14New York Islanders8061016-12
2014-15New York Islanders709918-2
2015-16New York Islanders80821294
2016-17New York Islanders59817259
2017-18New York Islanders6471017-12
2018-19New York Islanders7320133322
2019-20New York Islanders481041412
2020-21New York Islanders567714-2
2021-22New York Islanders7410616-3
2022-23New York Islanders81615210
2023-24New York Islanders70101323-2
2024-25New York Islanders8271017-13
2025-26New York Islanders8110818-3
Career1 team978124156280-1