HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Anthony Duclair

New York Islanders · LW · #11
Middle-six playerDepth Forward?27 points in 62 games in a supporting role
HT
6'0"
WT
198 lb
Age
30
Shoots
L
From
Pointe-Claire, CAN
Draft
2013 NYR · R3 #80
65Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
4242pctl
Playmaking?
4444pctl
Transition?
4949pctl
Defense?
6969pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.4451pctl
Goals / GP?
0.1952pctl
Assists / GP?
0.2452pctl
Shots / GP?
1.234pctl
Plus/Minus?
058pctl
PP Points?
659pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
4.5%49pctl
ZEIS?
2.0061pctl
PSPL?
0.0937pctl
Def Suppression?
0.6574pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP
Shots / 60?
5.423pctl
Hits / 60?
0.73pctl
Take : Give?
0.3360pctl
Blocks / 60?
3.0789pctl
PP TOI / GP?
1:1644pctl
PK TOI / GP?
0:0015pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 35 GP tracked · 7h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
16.9 min19pctl
Support received?
17.7 min38pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 740 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$3.50M

cap hit

$3.17M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal ($0.3M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Anthony Duclair65$3.50MC$0.3Mthis player
Conor Sheary62$0.78MB+$1.7M89%
Joel Armia64$2.50MC+$0.4M88%
Fabian Zetterlund67$4.28MC$0.6M86%
Daniil But65$0.95MA+$2.2M86%

Chemistry

Top connection: Mathew Barzal · 6 goals together

Recent form · last 10 games

1 pts · 0 G · 1 A · 8 shots in last 10Steady(-0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ WSH

0P

0G 0A

vs PIT

0P

0G 0A

vs FLA

0P

0G 0A

@ SJS

0P

0G 0A

vs CGY

1P

0G 1A

@ TOR

0P

0G 0A

@ OTT

0P

0G 0A

@ MTL

0P

0G 0A

@ BUF

0P

0G 0A

vs MTL

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)153 events shown

The office: the right circle - 5 of 12 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 6 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 48 blocks · 2 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2014-15New York Rangers181674
2015-16Arizona Coyotes8120244412
2016-17Arizona Coyotes5851015-7
2017-18Arizona Coyotes339615-5
2017-18Chicago Blackhawks232680
2018-19Columbus Blue Jackets5311819-3
2018-19Ottawa Senators2186141
2019-20Ottawa Senators66231740-5
2020-21Florida Panthers4310223227
2021-22Florida Panthers7431275819
2022-23Florida Panthers202794
2023-24San Jose Sharks56161127-12
2023-24Tampa Bay Lightning1787154
2024-25New York Islanders447411-15
2025-26New York Islanders621215270
Career9 teams66916517634124