HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Josh Manson

Colorado Avalanche · D · #42
Third-pair DHeavy Hitter?174 hits (7.4/60) - punishes the forecheck
HT
6'3"
WT
218 lb
Age
34
Shoots
R
From
Hinsdale, USA
Draft
2011 ANA · R6 #160
72Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
6060pctl
Playmaking?
5959pctl
Transition?
5555pctl
Defense?
5555pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.3972pctl
Goals / GP?
0.0656pctl
Assists / GP?
0.3378pctl
Shots / GP?
1.681pctl
Plus/Minus?
+4299pctl
PP Points?
027pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
2.3%23pctl
ZEIS?
1.4439pctl
PSPL?
0.0937pctl
Def Suppression?
0.5160pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Blocks / GP?
1.2548pctl
Blocks / 60?
4.2253pctl
Hits / 60?
7.494pctl
Take : Give?
0.3172pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:0435pctl
PK TOI / GP?
1:5868pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 48 GP tracked · 14h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.3 min42pctl
Support received?
16.6 min73pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1245 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$4.50M

cap hit

$5.42M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$0.9M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Josh Manson72$4.50MB+$0.9Mthis player
Ben Hutton71--86%
Ryan Shea71$0.90MA++$4.2M85%
Louis Crevier69$0.90MA+$3.6M84%
Nikita Zadorov70$5.00MC$0.2M83%

Recent form · last 10 games

3 pts · 0 G · 3 A · 23 shots in last 10Steady(-0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ PIT

0P

0G 0A

@ WPG

0P

0G 0A

vs WPG

1P

0G 1A

vs CGY

0P

0G 0A

vs VAN

1P

0G 1A

@ DAL

1P

0G 1A

vs STL

0P

0G 0A

@ STL

0P

0G 0A

vs CGY

0P

0G 0A

vs VGK

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)385 events shown

The office: the left point - 2 of 5 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 27 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 99 blocks · 13 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2014-15Anaheim Ducks280331
2015-16Anaheim Ducks715101511
2016-17Anaheim Ducks825121714
2017-18Anaheim Ducks807303734
2018-19Anaheim Ducks7431316-8
2019-20Anaheim Ducks50189-10
2020-21Anaheim Ducks23167-3
2021-22Anaheim Ducks454590
2021-22Colorado Avalanche22257-11
2022-23Colorado Avalanche27281013
2023-24Colorado Avalanche768172511
2024-25Colorado Avalanche4811415-6
2025-26Colorado Avalanche795263142
Career2 teams7054415720188