Nathan MacKinnon
Colorado Avalanche · C · #29- HT
- 6'0"
- WT
- 200 lb
- Age
- 30
- Shoots
- R
- From
- Halifax, CAN
- Draft
- 2013 COL · R1 #1
Alpha sub-scores
what drives the rating · percentile vs position groupLeague profile
vs. forwards with 20+ GPHockeyAlpha advanced
event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzedCenter toolkit
vs. centers with 20+ GPOn-ice impact
shift charts × our xG model · 50 GP tracked · 19h TOIUsage profile
assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher jobMicro-metrics
Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com
The Blueprint
Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1434 EV minGeneral Offense
Playmaking Sequences
Offense Types
Zone Entries
DZ Retrievals / Exits
Forechecking
Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed.
Contract & market
Contract value?
beta · cap data: CapWages$12.60M
cap hit
$16.12M
Alpha-market value
A
Team-friendly deal (+$3.5M)
Top comparables?
nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit| Player | Alpha | Archetype | Production | Cap hit | Market | Value | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Nathan MacKinnon | 96 | Dual Threat | 127 P · 80 GP | $12.60M | $16.12M | A+$3.5M | this player |
 Connor McDavid | 96 | Dual Threat | 138 P · 82 GP | $12.50M | $16.12M | A+$3.6M | 90% |
 Leon Draisaitl | 94 | Dual Threat | 97 P · 65 GP | $14.00M | $14.47M | C+$0.5M | 90% |
 Martin Necas | 92 | Top-Six Threat | 100 P · 78 GP | $6.50M | $12.83M | A++$6.3M | 87% |
 Macklin Celebrini | 96 | Dual Threat | 115 P · 82 GP | $0.97M | $16.12M | A++$15.1M | 81% |
Chemistry
Top connection: Martin Necas · 42 goals together
Finishes from
assisters on Nathan’s goals
From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.
Recent form · last 10 games
vs WPG
0P
0G 0A
vs WPG 03-28
0G 0A · 3 shots · 22:36 TOI
vs CGY
3P
1G 2A
vs CGY 03-30
1G 2A · 5 shots · 19:20 TOI
vs VAN
1P
1G 0A
vs VAN 04-01
1G 0A · 7 shots · 24:21 TOI
@ DAL
1P
1G 0A
@ DAL 04-04
1G 0A · 2 shots · 20:47 TOI
vs STL
0P
0G 0A
vs STL 04-05
0G 0A · 5 shots · 21:38 TOI
@ STL
1P
0G 1A
@ STL 04-07
0G 1A · 0 shots · 21:08 TOI
vs CGY
3P
1G 2A
vs CGY 04-09
1G 2A · 6 shots · 22:23 TOI
vs VGK
0P
0G 0A
vs VGK 04-11
0G 0A · 6 shots · 21:38 TOI
@ EDM
0P
0G 0A
@ EDM 04-13
0G 0A · 2 shots · 27:57 TOI
@ CGY
1P
1G 0A
@ CGY 04-14
1G 0A · 4 shots · 21:08 TOI
Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left
The Territory
attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end
The office: the right circle - 16 of 53 goals live there
Playmaking gravity: 36 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s
Defensive floor: 42 blocks · 12 steals inside the d-zone
NHL career · regular season
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013-14 | Colorado Avalanche | 82 | 24 | 39 | 63 | 20 |
| 2014-15 | Colorado Avalanche | 64 | 14 | 24 | 38 | -7 |
| 2015-16 | Colorado Avalanche | 72 | 21 | 31 | 52 | -4 |
| 2016-17 | Colorado Avalanche | 82 | 16 | 37 | 53 | -14 |
| 2017-18 | Colorado Avalanche | 74 | 39 | 58 | 97 | 11 |
| 2018-19 | Colorado Avalanche | 82 | 41 | 58 | 99 | 20 |
| 2019-20 | Colorado Avalanche | 69 | 35 | 58 | 93 | 13 |
| 2020-21 | Colorado Avalanche | 48 | 20 | 45 | 65 | 22 |
| 2021-22 | Colorado Avalanche | 65 | 32 | 56 | 88 | 22 |
| 2022-23 | Colorado Avalanche | 71 | 42 | 69 | 111 | 29 |
| 2023-24 | Colorado Avalanche | 82 | 51 | 89 | 140 | 35 |
| 2024-25 | Colorado Avalanche | 79 | 32 | 84 | 116 | 25 |
| 2025-26 | Colorado Avalanche | 80 | 53 | 74 | 127 | 57 |
| Career | 1 team | 950 | 420 | 722 | 1142 | 229 |