HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Brent Burns

Colorado Avalanche · D · #84
Third-pair DSteady Blueliner?91 blocks across 82 games of regular duty
HT
6'5"
WT
228 lb
Age
41
Shoots
R
From
Barrie, CAN
Draft
2003 MIN · R1 #20
71Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
7373pctl
Playmaking?
7878pctl
Transition?
7979pctl
Defense?
2020pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.4377pctl
Goals / GP?
0.1588pctl
Assists / GP?
0.2867pctl
Shots / GP?
2.191pctl
Plus/Minus?
+3397pctl
PP Points?
159pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
2.2%21pctl
ZEIS?
2.8481pctl
PSPL?
0.2993pctl
Def Suppression?
-0.065pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Blocks / GP?
1.1131pctl
Blocks / 60?
3.5228pctl
Hits / 60?
0.87pctl
Take : Give?
0.1815pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:4163pctl
PK TOI / GP?
2:1372pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 50 GP tracked · 16h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.3 min43pctl
Support received?
16.5 min76pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1311 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$1.00M

cap hit

$5.10M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A+

Massive surplus value (+$4.1M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Brent Burns71$1.00MA++$4.1Mthis player
Jordan Spence70$1.50MA+$3.3M88%
Tony DeAngelo68$1.75MA+$2.4M82%
Shea Theodore75$7.42MD$1.0M79%
Vladislav Gavrikov71$7.00MD$1.9M79%

Recent form · last 10 games

6 pts · 2 G · 4 A · 20 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs CGY

0P

0G 0A

vs VAN

2P

1G 1A

@ DAL

0P

0G 0A

vs STL

2P

1G 1A

@ STL

0P

0G 0A

vs CGY

1P

0G 1A

vs VGK

0P

0G 0A

@ EDM

0P

0G 0A

@ CGY

0P

0G 0A

vs SEA

1P

0G 1A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)519 events shown

The office: the left point - 7 of 12 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 37 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 91 blocks · 12 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2003-04Minnesota Wild36156-10
2005-06Minnesota Wild7241216-7
2006-07Minnesota Wild777182516
2007-08Minnesota Wild8215284312
2008-09Minnesota Wild5981927-7
2009-10Minnesota Wild4731720-15
2010-11Minnesota Wild80172946-10
2011-12San Jose Sharks811126378
2012-13San Jose Sharks30911200
2013-14San Jose Sharks6922264826
2014-15San Jose Sharks82174360-9
2015-16San Jose Sharks82274875-5
2016-17San Jose Sharks8229477619
2017-18San Jose Sharks82125567-16
2018-19San Jose Sharks8216678313
2019-20San Jose Sharks70123345-22
2020-21San Jose Sharks5672229-13
2021-22San Jose Sharks82104454-15
2022-23Carolina Hurricanes8218436119
2023-24Carolina Hurricanes8210334319
2024-25Carolina Hurricanes82623297
2025-26Colorado Avalanche8212233533
Career4 teams157927367294543