Brock Nelson
Colorado Avalanche · C · #11- HT
- 6'4"
- WT
- 205 lb
- Age
- 34
- Shoots
- L
- From
- Warroad, USA
- Draft
- 2010 NYI · R1 #30
Alpha sub-scores
what drives the rating · percentile vs position groupLeague profile
vs. forwards with 20+ GPHockeyAlpha advanced
event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzedCenter toolkit
vs. centers with 20+ GPOn-ice impact
shift charts × our xG model · 49 GP tracked · 16h TOIUsage profile
assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher jobMicro-metrics
Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com
The Blueprint
Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1176 EV minGeneral Offense
Playmaking Sequences
Offense Types
Zone Entries
DZ Retrievals / Exits
Forechecking
Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed.
Contract & market
Contract value?
beta · cap data: CapWages$7.50M
cap hit
$9.00M
Alpha-market value
B
Good value (+$1.5M)
Top comparables?
nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit| Player | Alpha | Archetype | Production | Cap hit | Market | Value | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Brock Nelson | 84 | Top-Six Threat | 65 P · 81 GP | $7.50M | $9.00M | B+$1.5M | this player |
 Nico Hischier | 85 | Top-Six Threat | 66 P · 82 GP | $7.25M | $9.36M | A+$2.1M | 92% |
 Nick Schmaltz | 87 | Two-Way Force | 74 P · 82 GP | $5.85M | $10.09M | A++$4.2M | 89% |
 Tomas Hertl | 82 | Faceoff General | 58 P · 82 GP | $8.14M | $8.30M | C+$0.2M | 88% |
 Wyatt Johnston | 90 | Top-Six Threat | 86 P · 82 GP | $8.40M | $11.21M | A+$2.8M | 86% |
Chemistry
Top connection: Cale Makar · 15 goals together
Finishes from
assisters on Brock’s goals
From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.
Recent form · last 10 games
vs WPG
1P
1G 0A
vs WPG 03-28
1G 0A · 3 shots · 20:19 TOI
vs CGY
2P
0G 2A
vs CGY 03-30
0G 2A · 1 shots · 16:46 TOI
vs VAN
1P
0G 1A
vs VAN 04-01
0G 1A · 2 shots · 22:29 TOI
@ DAL
0P
0G 0A
@ DAL 04-04
0G 0A · 3 shots · 21:38 TOI
vs STL
1P
0G 1A
vs STL 04-05
0G 1A · 0 shots · 21:25 TOI
@ STL
1P
0G 1A
@ STL 04-07
0G 1A · 2 shots · 19:13 TOI
vs CGY
0P
0G 0A
vs CGY 04-09
0G 0A · 3 shots · 16:51 TOI
vs VGK
1P
0G 1A
vs VGK 04-11
0G 1A · 2 shots · 19:59 TOI
@ EDM
0P
0G 0A
@ EDM 04-13
0G 0A · 0 shots · 19:11 TOI
vs SEA
0P
0G 0A
vs SEA 04-16
0G 0A · 1 shots · 19:21 TOI
Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left
The Territory
attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end
The office: the inner slot - 9 of 33 goals live there
Playmaking gravity: 32 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s
Defensive floor: 78 blocks · 7 steals inside the d-zone
NHL career · regular season
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013-14 | New York Islanders | 72 | 14 | 12 | 26 | -10 |
| 2014-15 | New York Islanders | 82 | 20 | 22 | 42 | 6 |
| 2015-16 | New York Islanders | 81 | 26 | 14 | 40 | -3 |
| 2016-17 | New York Islanders | 81 | 20 | 25 | 45 | -6 |
| 2017-18 | New York Islanders | 82 | 19 | 16 | 35 | -4 |
| 2018-19 | New York Islanders | 82 | 25 | 28 | 53 | 20 |
| 2019-20 | New York Islanders | 68 | 26 | 28 | 54 | 6 |
| 2020-21 | New York Islanders | 56 | 18 | 15 | 33 | -5 |
| 2021-22 | New York Islanders | 72 | 37 | 22 | 59 | -5 |
| 2022-23 | New York Islanders | 82 | 36 | 39 | 75 | 13 |
| 2023-24 | New York Islanders | 82 | 34 | 35 | 69 | -5 |
| 2024-25 | New York Islanders | 61 | 20 | 23 | 43 | 2 |
| 2024-25 | Colorado Avalanche | 19 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 6 |
| 2025-26 | Colorado Avalanche | 81 | 33 | 32 | 65 | 15 |
| Career | 2 teams | 1001 | 334 | 318 | 652 | 30 |