HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Pavel Zacha

Boston Bruins · C · #18
Top-six playerMiddle-Six Engine?Reliable minutes: 65 points and honest two-way play
HT
6'4"
WT
211 lb
Age
29
Shoots
L
From
Brno, CZE
Draft
2015 NJD · R1 #6
79Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
7676pctl
Playmaking?
6262pctl
Transition?
5555pctl
Defense?
3333pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.8385pctl
Goals / GP?
0.3888pctl
Assists / GP?
0.4582pctl
Shots / GP?
1.761pctl
Plus/Minus?
+473pctl
PP Points?
2289pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
8.7%83pctl
ZEIS?
1.8755pctl
PSPL?
0.1251pctl
Def Suppression?
0.2627pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP
Faceoff %?
53.3%76pctl
D-Zone FO %?
53.5%74pctl
Draws / GP
12.676pctl
Take : Give?
0.3033pctl
PP TOI / GP?
2:5678pctl
PK TOI / GP?
0:5351pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 45 GP tracked · 12h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.9 min91pctl
Support received?
18.1 min29pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1015 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$4.75M

cap hit

$7.28M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$2.5M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Pavel Zacha79$4.75MA+$2.5Mthis player
Gabriel Vilardi81$7.50MC+$0.5M84%
J.T. Miller77$8.00MD$1.4M84%
Matt Duchene76$8.00MD$1.7M82%
Morgan Geekie81$5.50MA+$2.5M81%

Recent form · last 10 games

13 pts · 7 G · 6 A · 18 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.6 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ BUF

2P

1G 1A

vs MIN

2P

2G 0A

@ CBJ

3P

2G 1A

vs DAL

1P

0G 1A

@ FLA

0P

0G 0A

@ TBL

1P

0G 1A

@ PHI

1P

1G 0A

@ CAR

2P

1G 1A

vs TBL

0P

0G 0A

vs NJD

1P

0G 1A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)520 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 10 of 30 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 13 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 34 blocks · 8 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2015-16New Jersey Devils10224
2016-17New Jersey Devils7081624-17
2017-18New Jersey Devils6981725-3
2018-19New Jersey Devils61131225-6
2019-20New Jersey Devils6582432-12
2020-21New Jersey Devils50171835-11
2021-22New Jersey Devils70152136-21
2022-23Boston Bruins8221365726
2023-24Boston Bruins7821385912
2024-25Boston Bruins82143347-8
2025-26Boston Bruins783035654
Career2 teams706155252407-32