HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Kyle Palmieri

New York Islanders · C · #21
Top-six playerMiddle-Six Engine?Reliable minutes: 18 points and honest two-way play
HT
6'0"
WT
192 lb
Age
35
Shoots
R
From
Smithtown, USA
Draft
2009 ANA · R1 #26
80Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
7171pctl
Playmaking?
7979pctl
Transition?
7575pctl
Defense?
6868pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.7279pctl
Goals / GP?
0.2466pctl
Assists / GP?
0.4885pctl
Shots / GP?
2.894pctl
Plus/Minus?
-250pctl
PP Points?
555pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
12.4%96pctl
ZEIS?
3.4289pctl
PSPL?
0.56100pctl
Def Suppression?
0.6070pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP
Draws / GP
0.23pctl
Take : Give?
0.4476pctl
PP TOI / GP?
3:4098pctl
PK TOI / GP?
1:4476pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 9 GP tracked · 3h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.5 min57pctl
Support received?
19.2 min4pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 337 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$4.75M

cap hit

$7.61M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$2.9M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Kyle Palmieri80$4.75MA+$2.9Mthis player
Mathew Barzal84$9.15MC$0.2M86%
Mikael Granlund79$7.00MC+$0.3M86%
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins80$5.13MA+$2.5M86%
Tomas Hertl82$8.14MC+$0.2M85%

Chemistry

Top connection: Bo Horvat · 6 goals together

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

7 pts · 2 G · 5 A · 26 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.6 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ NJD

2P

1G 1A

@ VGK

0P

0G 0A

@ UTA

0P

0G 0A

@ COL

1P

0G 1A

@ DAL

2P

1G 1A

@ DET

0P

0G 0A

vs STL

1P

0G 1A

vs SEA

0P

0G 0A

vs BOS

0P

0G 0A

vs PHI

1P

0G 1A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)128 events shown

The office: the left circle - 2 of 6 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 10 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 15 blocks · 4 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2010-11Anaheim Ducks10101-1
2011-12Anaheim Ducks184373
2012-13Anaheim Ducks421011212
2013-14Anaheim Ducks711417319
2014-15Anaheim Ducks57141529-2
2015-16New Jersey Devils823027573
2016-17New Jersey Devils802627532
2017-18New Jersey Devils62242044-1
2018-19New Jersey Devils74272350-9
2019-20New Jersey Devils65252045-4
2020-21New Jersey Devils348917-2
2020-21New York Islanders17224-3
2021-22New York Islanders691518330
2022-23New York Islanders5516173313
2023-24New York Islanders82302454-16
2024-25New York Islanders82242448-17
2025-26New York Islanders2561218-2
Career3 teams925276269545-25