Regular season

Frederick Gaudreau

Seattle Kraken · C · #89

Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?24 points in 68 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'0"
WT: 184 lb
Age: 33
Shoots: R
From: Bromont, CAN

61Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

2626pctl

3737pctl

4646pctl

8989pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.3538pctl

0.1024pctl

0.2553pctl

1.023pctl

-154pctl

346pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

4.3%48pctl

2.0162pctl

0.0519pctl

Def Suppression?

0.8788pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

43.5%17pctl

D-Zone FO %?

45.4%34pctl

10.065pctl

0.6996pctl

0:1734pctl

2:0185pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 43 GP tracked · 12h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

42.1%7pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

48.9%46pctl

O-zone deployment?

25%2pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.6 min65pctl

Support received?

17.3 min47pctl

D-zone deployment?

75%98pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.1383pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.8250pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.2945pctl

1.04×79pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.44/gm2pctl

Pressure escape rate?

7.8%49pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 941 EV min

General Offense

3.7614

5.5516

Shot Setups/60?

0.6427

Chance Setups/60?

0.3216

Primary Contributions/60?

4.4014

Rebounds Created/60?

0.1314

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.1374

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.3223

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.1928

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0036

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0019

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.0832

Rush Offense/60?

6.1826

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.3216

0.5123

0.1344

Deflections/60?

1.1537

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0634

Entries Finished/60?

0.8964

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.7078

Entry → Chance %?

79%78

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.1551

0.5178

0.6432

Retrieval Success %?

44%83

Exit Involvements/60?

0.1382

Exit Success %?

11%85

Forechecking

1.9832

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$2.10M

cap hit

$2.24M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.1M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Frederick Gaudreau	61	Depth Forward	24 P · 68 GP	$2.10M	$2.24M	C+$0.1M	this player
Jack Drury	61	Faceoff General	27 P · 82 GP	$1.73M	$2.24M	C+$0.5M	89%
Adam Lowry	60	Depth Forward	21 P · 70 GP	$3.25M	$2.03M	D−$1.2M	87%
Nic Dowd	57	Depth Forward	21 P · 75 GP	$3.00M	$1.46M	D−$1.5M	81%
Brendan Gaunce	59	Faceoff General	6 P · 25 GP	$0.78M	$1.83M	B+$1.1M	81%

Chemistry

Top connection: Kaapo Kakko · 5 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Frederick’s goals

Creates for

goals Frederick assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

2 pts · 2 G · 0 A · 10 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ EDM

0P

0G 0A

@ EDM 03-31

0G 0A · 0 shots · 14:23 TOI

vs UTA

0P

0G 0A

vs UTA 04-02

0G 0A · 1 shots · 16:16 TOI

vs CHI

0P

0G 0A

vs CHI 04-04

0G 0A · 2 shots · 14:05 TOI

@ WPG

0P

0G 0A

@ WPG 04-06

0G 0A · 1 shots · 14:41 TOI

@ MIN

0P

0G 0A

@ MIN 04-07

0G 0A · 0 shots · 16:44 TOI

vs VGK

0P

0G 0A

vs VGK 04-09

0G 0A · 0 shots · 15:06 TOI

vs CGY

1P

1G 0A

vs CGY 04-11

1G 0A · 4 shots · 15:16 TOI

vs LAK

1P

1G 0A

vs LAK 04-13

1G 0A · 2 shots · 18:17 TOI

@ VGK

0P

0G 0A

@ VGK 04-15

0G 0A · 0 shots · 14:37 TOI

@ COL

0P

0G 0A

@ COL 04-16

0G 0A · 0 shots · 15:10 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)313 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 2 of 7 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 11 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 56 blocks · 12 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2016-17	Nashville Predators	9	0	1	1	1
2017-18	Nashville Predators	20	0	3	3	0
2018-19	Nashville Predators	55	3	1	4	1
2020-21	Pittsburgh Penguins	19	2	8	10	10
2021-22	Minnesota Wild	76	14	30	44	12
2022-23	Minnesota Wild	82	19	19	38	10
2023-24	Minnesota Wild	67	5	10	15	-23
2024-25	Minnesota Wild	82	18	19	37	-2
2025-26	Seattle Kraken	68	7	17	24	-1
Career	4 teams	478	68	108	176	8