Regular season

Jack Drury

Nashville Predators · C · #18

Bottom-six playerFaceoff General?58.1% on 969 draws - possession starts with him

HT: 5'11"
WT: 186 lb
Age: 26
Shoots: L
From: New York, USA
Draft: 2018 CAR · R2 #42

61Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

3434pctl

3434pctl

3939pctl

8585pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.3336pctl

0.1230pctl

0.2142pctl

1.235pctl

+1591pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

4.2%46pctl

1.8354pctl

0.0624pctl

Def Suppression?

0.7983pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

58.1%95pctl

D-Zone FO %?

56.7%89pctl

11.872pctl

0.5288pctl

0:1329pctl

2:0186pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 50 GP tracked · 12h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

60.2%99pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

57.9%83pctl

O-zone deployment?

43%24pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

16.9 min19pctl

Support received?

16.3 min86pctl

D-zone deployment?

57%76pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0961pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.7747pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.4373pctl

1.03×74pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.14/gm84pctl

Pressure escape rate?

7.7%48pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1004 EV min

General Offense

5.0835

7.5346

Shot Setups/60?

0.4817

Chance Setups/60?

0.4222

Primary Contributions/60?

5.5629

Rebounds Created/60?

0.1213

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0027

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.2417

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.1219

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0036

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0019

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.4955

Rush Offense/60?

6.6332

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.8468

0.7848

0.3684

Deflections/60?

1.7972

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.2474

Entries Finished/60?

0.9671

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.6069

Entry → Chance %?

63%50

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

0.6617

0.1834

0.4819

Retrieval Success %?

27%56

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0668

Exit Success %?

9%80

Forechecking

2.4539

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$1.73M

cap hit

$2.24M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.5M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Jack Drury	61	Faceoff General	27 P · 82 GP	$1.73M	$2.24M	C+$0.5M	this player
Adam Lowry	60	Depth Forward	21 P · 70 GP	$3.25M	$2.03M	D−$1.2M	91%
Brendan Gaunce	59	Faceoff General	6 P · 25 GP	$0.78M	$1.83M	B+$1.1M	89%
Freddy Gaudreau	61	Depth Forward	24 P · 68 GP	$2.10M	$2.24M	C+$0.1M	89%
Mark Kastelic	62	Faceoff General	22 P · 82 GP	$1.57M	$2.46M	B+$0.9M	85%

Chemistry

Top connection: Parker Kelly · 10 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Jack’s goals

Creates for

goals Jack assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

4 pts · 1 G · 3 A · 14 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.8 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs CGY

3P

1G 2A

vs CGY 03-30

1G 2A · 3 shots · 13:11 TOI

vs VAN

1P

0G 1A

vs VAN 04-01

0G 1A · 0 shots · 11:31 TOI

@ DAL

0P

0G 0A

@ DAL 04-04

0G 0A · 0 shots · 10:15 TOI

vs STL

0P

0G 0A

vs STL 04-05

0G 0A · 0 shots · 15:39 TOI

@ STL

0P

0G 0A

@ STL 04-07

0G 0A · 0 shots · 13:21 TOI

vs CGY

0P

0G 0A

vs CGY 04-09

0G 0A · 1 shots · 15:00 TOI

vs VGK

0P

0G 0A

vs VGK 04-11

0G 0A · 3 shots · 12:19 TOI

@ EDM

0P

0G 0A

@ EDM 04-13

0G 0A · 3 shots · 9:56 TOI

@ CGY

0P

0G 0A

@ CGY 04-14

0G 0A · 2 shots · 12:34 TOI

vs SEA

0P

0G 0A

vs SEA 04-16

0G 0A · 2 shots · 15:24 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)528 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 3 of 10 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 10 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 68 blocks · 9 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2021-22	Carolina Hurricanes	2	2	0	2	3
2022-23	Carolina Hurricanes	38	2	6	8	3
2023-24	Carolina Hurricanes	74	8	19	27	4
2024-25	Carolina Hurricanes	39	3	6	9	1
2024-25	Colorado Avalanche	33	5	4	9	0
2025-26	Colorado Avalanche	82	10	17	27	15
Career	2 teams	268	30	52	82	26