HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Berkly Catton

Seattle Kraken · C · #27
Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?17 points in 66 games in a supporting role
HT
5'10"
WT
179 lb
Age
20
Shoots
L
From
Saskatoon, CAN
Draft
2024 SEA · R1 #8
57Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
3535pctl
Playmaking?
2424pctl
Transition?
3232pctl
Defense?
6060pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.2626pctl
Goals / GP?
0.1125pctl
Assists / GP?
0.1527pctl
Shots / GP?
1.233pctl
Plus/Minus?
-827pctl
PP Points?
241pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
6.1%65pctl
ZEIS?
1.3635pctl
PSPL?
0.0414pctl
Def Suppression?
0.4553pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP
Faceoff %?
44.3%19pctl
Draws / GP
2.425pctl
Take : Give?
0.4068pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:5147pctl
PK TOI / GP?
0:001pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 35 GP tracked · 8h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.0 min24pctl
Support received?
17.3 min49pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 797 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.94M

cap hit

$1.46M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.5M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Berkly Catton57$0.94MC+$0.5Mthis player
Noah Laba59$0.91MB+$0.9M89%
Alexander Kerfoot62$3.00MC$0.5M87%
Marco Kasper60$0.89MB+$1.1M87%
Colton Dach56$0.82MC+$0.5M87%

Chemistry

Top connection: Kaapo Kakko · 4 goals together

Recent form · last 10 games

2 pts · 1 G · 1 A · 10 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ EDM

0P

0G 0A

vs UTA

0P

0G 0A

vs CHI

1P

0G 1A

@ WPG

0P

0G 0A

@ MIN

0P

0G 0A

vs VGK

1P

1G 0A

vs CGY

0P

0G 0A

vs LAK

0P

0G 0A

@ VGK

0P

0G 0A

@ COL

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)215 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 3 of 7 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 6 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 37 blocks · 5 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2025-26Seattle Kraken6671017-8
Career1 team6671017-8