Regular season

Ross Colton

Nashville Predators · C · #20

Middle-six playerDepth Forward?Energy role: 159 hits (10.4/60)

HT: 6'0"
WT: 194 lb
Age: 29
Shoots: L
From: Robbinsville, USA
Draft: 2016 TBL · R4 #118

65Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

5050pctl

4747pctl

6666pctl

3636pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.3336pctl

0.1230pctl

0.2141pctl

2.175pctl

+984pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

7.1%74pctl

2.6077pctl

0.1355pctl

Def Suppression?

0.2122pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

47.2%35pctl

D-Zone FO %?

41.4%15pctl

1.518pctl

0.3760pctl

0:4845pctl

0:0221pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 44 GP tracked · 9h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

56.7%92pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

46.9%36pctl

O-zone deployment?

49%44pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.1 min30pctl

Support received?

17.5 min41pctl

D-zone deployment?

51%56pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.1176pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.0262pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.4982pctl

0.94×23pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.10/gm94pctl

Pressure escape rate?

8.5%66pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 853 EV min

General Offense

9.9988

11.8287

Shot Setups/60?

1.5585

Chance Setups/60?

1.2785

Primary Contributions/60?

11.5388

Rebounds Created/60?

0.7782

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.1477

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.7771

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.4976

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0037

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.2880

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

3.0289

Rush Offense/60?

12.8787

Shots off HD Setups/60?

1.2785

1.2078

0.2166

Deflections/60?

2.6087

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.2170

Entries Finished/60?

1.5587

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.8484

Entry → Chance %?

55%35

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.2053

0.1430

1.0567

Retrieval Success %?

12%23

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0034

Exit Success %?

0%31

Forechecking

8.4479

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$4.00M

cap hit

$3.17M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

D

Paying a premium (−$0.8M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Ross Colton	65	Depth Forward	24 P · 73 GP	$4.00M	$3.17M	D−$0.8M	this player
Ryan Donato	63	Depth Forward	30 P · 82 GP	$4.00M	$2.68M	D−$1.3M	85%
Yegor Sharangovich	66	Depth Forward	29 P · 78 GP	$5.75M	$3.42M	D−$2.3M	82%
Alex Newhook	70	Depth Forward	25 P · 42 GP	$2.90M	$4.50M	B+$1.6M	82%
Michael Eyssimont	62	Depth Forward	18 P · 56 GP	$1.45M	$2.46M	B+$1.0M	82%

Chemistry

Top connection: Brock Nelson · 9 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Ross’s goals

Creates for

goals Ross assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

0 pts · 0 G · 0 A · 13 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs CGY

0P

0G 0A

vs CGY 03-30

0G 0A · 0 shots · 14:43 TOI

vs VAN

0P

0G 0A

vs VAN 04-01

0G 0A · 0 shots · 9:35 TOI

@ DAL

0P

0G 0A

@ DAL 04-04

0G 0A · 1 shots · 7:49 TOI

vs STL

0P

0G 0A

vs STL 04-05

0G 0A · 4 shots · 11:56 TOI

@ STL

0P

0G 0A

@ STL 04-07

0G 0A · 2 shots · 10:54 TOI

vs CGY

0P

0G 0A

vs CGY 04-09

0G 0A · 3 shots · 8:53 TOI

vs VGK

0P

0G 0A

vs VGK 04-11

0G 0A · 1 shots · 10:13 TOI

@ EDM

0P

0G 0A

@ EDM 04-13

0G 0A · 0 shots · 12:48 TOI

@ CGY

0P

0G 0A

@ CGY 04-14

0G 0A · 0 shots · 11:48 TOI

vs SEA

0P

0G 0A

vs SEA 04-16

0G 0A · 2 shots · 14:27 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)346 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 2 of 9 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 24 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 35 blocks · 2 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2020-21	Tampa Bay Lightning	30	9	3	12	3
2021-22	Tampa Bay Lightning	79	22	17	39	4
2022-23	Tampa Bay Lightning	81	16	16	32	-8
2023-24	Colorado Avalanche	80	17	23	40	-8
2024-25	Colorado Avalanche	61	16	13	29	-1
2025-26	Colorado Avalanche	73	9	15	24	9
Career	2 teams	404	89	87	176	-1