Regular season

Connor Zary

Calgary Flames · C · #47

Bottom-six playerDepth Forward?25 points in 74 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'0"
WT: 178 lb
Age: 24
Shoots: L
From: Saskatoon, CAN
Draft: 2020 CGY · R1 #24

63Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

4444pctl

4747pctl

5050pctl

2828pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.3437pctl

0.1642pctl

0.1832pctl

1.553pctl

-924pctl

763pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

6.3%67pctl

1.9258pctl

0.1667pctl

Def Suppression?

0.1617pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

45.8%27pctl

D-Zone FO %?

47.8%42pctl

2.224pctl

0.3242pctl

1:3864pctl

0:0110pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 46 GP tracked · 11h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

47.1%28pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

52.3%63pctl

O-zone deployment?

48%41pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.2 min38pctl

Support received?

17.3 min50pctl

D-zone deployment?

52%59pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0749pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.4482pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.4271pctl

0.89×8pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.11/gm91pctl

Pressure escape rate?

8.7%69pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 941 EV min

General Offense

5.6149

7.0136

Shot Setups/60?

0.7032

Chance Setups/60?

0.6439

Primary Contributions/60?

6.3145

Rebounds Created/60?

0.3840

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0028

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.5142

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.1319

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0036

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0636

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

0.7717

Rush Offense/60?

7.3344

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.8366

0.7747

0.0628

Deflections/60?

1.5360

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.3282

Entries Finished/60?

0.5127

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.5158

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

0.8931

0.1936

0.7037

Retrieval Success %?

21%40

Exit Involvements/60?

0.1382

Exit Success %?

14%88

Forechecking

2.2335

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.1388

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$3.77M

cap hit

$2.68M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

D

Paying a premium (−$1.1M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Connor Zary	63	Depth Forward	25 P · 74 GP	$3.77M	$2.68M	D−$1.1M	this player
Ryan Donato	63	Depth Forward	30 P · 82 GP	$4.00M	$2.68M	D−$1.3M	87%
Philipp Kurashev	63	Depth Forward	20 P · 43 GP	-	$2.68M	-	86%
Vladislav Namestnikov	61	Depth Forward	14 P · 60 GP	$3.00M	$2.24M	D−$0.8M	84%
Dominic James	63	Depth Forward	15 P · 43 GP	$0.91M	$2.68M	B+$1.8M	82%

Chemistry

Top connection: Mikael Backlund · 6 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Connor’s goals

Creates for

goals Connor assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

2 pts · 2 G · 0 A · 15 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ DET

0P

0G 0A

@ DET 03-16

0G 0A · 0 shots · 10:00 TOI

vs STL

1P

1G 0A

vs STL 03-18

1G 0A · 4 shots · 17:33 TOI

vs FLA

0P

0G 0A

vs FLA 03-20

0G 0A · 0 shots · 13:20 TOI

@ VGK

0P

0G 0A

@ VGK 04-02

0G 0A · 0 shots · 9:28 TOI

@ ANA

0P

0G 0A

@ ANA 04-04

0G 0A · 0 shots · 11:47 TOI

@ DAL

0P

0G 0A

@ DAL 04-07

0G 0A · 0 shots · 13:48 TOI

@ COL

0P

0G 0A

@ COL 04-09

0G 0A · 3 shots · 14:18 TOI

@ SEA

0P

0G 0A

@ SEA 04-11

0G 0A · 3 shots · 11:23 TOI

vs UTA

1P

1G 0A

vs UTA 04-12

1G 0A · 3 shots · 14:45 TOI

vs COL

0P

0G 0A

vs COL 04-14

0G 0A · 2 shots · 15:22 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)259 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 5 of 12 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 14 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 24 blocks · 3 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2023-24	Calgary Flames	63	14	20	34	12
2024-25	Calgary Flames	54	13	14	27	-7
2025-26	Calgary Flames	74	12	13	25	-9
Career	1 team	191	39	47	86	-4