Regular season

Devon Toews

Colorado Avalanche · D · #7

Second-pair DSteady Blueliner?83 blocks across 68 games of regular duty

HT: 6'1"
WT: 191 lb
Age: 32
Shoots: L
From: Abbotsford, CAN
Draft: 2014 NYI · R4 #108

75Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

6060pctl

7676pctl

6565pctl

5858pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.3565pctl

0.0441pctl

0.3172pctl

1.782pctl

+3798pctl

159pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

3.1%33pctl

1.8755pctl

0.2284pctl

Def Suppression?

0.7179pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

1.2245pctl

3.2721pctl

Blocks / 100 shifts?

4.623pctl

1.014pctl

0.4593pctl

1:2476pctl

2:2580pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 46 GP tracked · 17h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

60.8%99pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

57.7%82pctl

O-zone deployment?

58%84pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.9 min89pctl

Support received?

18.5 min15pctl

D-zone deployment?

42%16pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0210pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.3525pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.2027pctl

1.17×99pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.29/gm25pctl

Pressure escape rate?

9.4%82pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1261 EV min

General Offense

4.2872

4.1979

Shot Setups/60?

0.9063

Chance Setups/60?

0.8171

Primary Contributions/60?

5.1971

Rebounds Created/60?

0.3858

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0031

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.4358

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.2474

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0034

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.1466

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.7658

Rush Offense/60?

5.8556

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.3868

0.3368

0.0548

Deflections/60?

0.5292

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0567

Entries Finished/60?

0.1016

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.0532

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.9518

0.4854

1.4816

Retrieval Success %?

24%80

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0037

Exit Success %?

0%37

Forechecking

0.3849

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0048

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$7.25M

cap hit

$6.40M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

D

Paying a premium (−$0.8M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Devon Toews	75	Steady Blueliner	24 P · 68 GP	$7.25M	$6.40M	D−$0.8M	this player
Hampus Lindholm	77	Steady Blueliner	26 P · 67 GP	$6.50M	$7.09M	C+$0.6M	92%
Rasmus Ristolainen	72	Steady Blueliner	14 P · 44 GP	$5.10M	$5.42M	C+$0.3M	88%
Noah Hanifin	76	Steady Blueliner	28 P · 71 GP	$7.35M	$6.75M	C−$0.6M	85%
K'Andre Miller	78	Steady Blueliner	37 P · 72 GP	$7.50M	$7.44M	C−$0.1M	84%

Chemistry

Top connection: Nathan MacKinnon · 9 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Devon’s goals

Creates for

goals Devon assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

5 pts · 1 G · 4 A · 16 shots in last 10Steady(-0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs WPG

0P

0G 0A

vs WPG 03-28

0G 0A · 0 shots · 21:10 TOI

vs CGY

0P

0G 0A

vs CGY 03-30

0G 0A · 2 shots · 19:35 TOI

vs VAN

2P

0G 2A

vs VAN 04-01

0G 2A · 1 shots · 24:54 TOI

@ DAL

1P

0G 1A

@ DAL 04-04

0G 1A · 0 shots · 23:53 TOI

vs STL

0P

0G 0A

vs STL 04-05

0G 0A · 0 shots · 25:15 TOI

@ STL

1P

0G 1A

@ STL 04-07

0G 1A · 2 shots · 23:44 TOI

vs CGY

0P

0G 0A

vs CGY 04-09

0G 0A · 2 shots · 22:26 TOI

vs VGK

1P

1G 0A

vs VGK 04-11

1G 0A · 2 shots · 26:54 TOI

@ EDM

0P

0G 0A

@ EDM 04-13

0G 0A · 3 shots · 31:21 TOI

vs SEA

0P

0G 0A

vs SEA 04-16

0G 0A · 4 shots · 22:24 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)355 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 2 of 3 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 23 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 86 blocks · 16 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2018-19	New York Islanders	48	5	13	18	7
2019-20	New York Islanders	68	6	22	28	1
2020-21	Colorado Avalanche	53	9	22	31	29
2021-22	Colorado Avalanche	66	13	44	57	52
2022-23	Colorado Avalanche	80	7	43	50	39
2023-24	Colorado Avalanche	82	12	38	50	28
2024-25	Colorado Avalanche	76	10	34	44	30
2025-26	Colorado Avalanche	68	3	21	24	37
Career	2 teams	541	65	237	302	223