HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Martin Necas

Colorado Avalanche · C · #88
EliteTop-Six Threat?100 points in 78 games with strong all-around impact
HT
6'3"
WT
195 lb
Age
27
Shoots
R
From
Nove Mesto na Morave, CZE
Draft
2017 CAR · R1 #12
92Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
8787pctl
Playmaking?
8484pctl
Transition?
8383pctl
Defense?
1111pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
1.2899pctl
Goals / GP?
0.4996pctl
Assists / GP?
0.7998pctl
Shots / GP?
2.690pctl
Plus/Minus?
+47100pctl
PP Points?
2492pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
9.8%87pctl
ZEIS?
3.5390pctl
PSPL?
0.2284pctl
Def Suppression?
-0.065pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP
Draws / GP
0.35pctl
Take : Give?
0.1911pctl
PP TOI / GP?
4:0599pctl
PK TOI / GP?
0:0113pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 47 GP tracked · 17h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.9 min91pctl
Support received?
20.1 min1pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1357 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$6.50M

cap hit

$12.83M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A+

Massive surplus value (+$6.3M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Martin Necas92$6.50MA++$6.3Mthis player
Leon Draisaitl94$14.00MC+$0.5M91%
Nathan MacKinnon96$12.60MA+$3.5M87%
Connor McDavid96$12.50MA+$3.6M84%
Connor Bedard89$0.95MA++$9.9M82%

Recent form · last 10 games

11 pts · 4 G · 7 A · 33 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs WPG

0P

0G 0A

vs CGY

3P

1G 2A

vs VAN

0P

0G 0A

@ DAL

2P

1G 1A

vs STL

0P

0G 0A

@ STL

1P

1G 0A

vs CGY

3P

1G 2A

vs VGK

1P

0G 1A

@ EDM

0P

0G 0A

@ CGY

1P

0G 1A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)428 events shown

The office: the right circle - 9 of 38 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 24 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 34 blocks · 11 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2017-18Carolina Hurricanes10000
2018-19Carolina Hurricanes71120
2019-20Carolina Hurricanes64162036-6
2020-21Carolina Hurricanes5314274125
2021-22Carolina Hurricanes781426405
2022-23Carolina Hurricanes822843715
2023-24Carolina Hurricanes77242953-9
2024-25Carolina Hurricanes491639554
2024-25Colorado Avalanche301117281
2025-26Colorado Avalanche78386210047
Career2 teams51916226442672