Regular season

Cale Makar

Colorado Avalanche · D · #8

EliteOffensive QB?79 points from the blue line - runs the attack

HT: 6'0"
WT: 187 lb
Age: 27
Shoots: R
From: Calgary, CAN
Draft: 2017 COL · R1 #4

91Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

9292pctl

8686pctl

9393pctl

6969pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

1.0599pctl

0.2798pctl

0.7998pctl

2.797pctl

+3296pctl

2999pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

6.3%67pctl

6.11100pctl

0.2080pctl

Def Suppression?

0.9791pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

1.5773pctl

3.7939pctl

Blocks / 100 shifts?

6.160pctl

1.118pctl

0.4795pctl

4:11100pctl

1:5767pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 43 GP tracked · 18h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

56.8%93pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

56.5%79pctl

O-zone deployment?

60%89pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.9 min90pctl

Support received?

18.7 min11pctl

D-zone deployment?

40%11pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0748pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.6842pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.1925pctl

1.03×76pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.23/gm47pctl

Pressure escape rate?

9.5%83pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1403 EV min

General Offense

5.6488

7.6593

Shot Setups/60?

0.9870

Chance Setups/60?

0.9880

Primary Contributions/60?

6.6387

Rebounds Created/60?

0.3860

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0030

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.5680

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.0933

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0034

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.1773

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

3.0491

Rush Offense/60?

8.5188

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.3868

0.3063

0.1377

Deflections/60?

0.0442

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0980

Entries Finished/60?

0.4782

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.3088

Entry → Chance %?

64%86

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

2.6548

0.7787

1.8832

Retrieval Success %?

29%88

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0474

Exit Success %?

2%73

Forechecking

0.4761

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0048

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$9.00M

cap hit

$13.52M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A+

Massive surplus value (+$4.5M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Cale Makar	91	Offensive QB	79 P · 75 GP	$9.00M	$13.52M	A++$4.5M	this player
Jake Sanderson	88	Offensive QB	54 P · 67 GP	$8.05M	$11.24M	A+$3.2M	88%
Roman Josi	86	Offensive QB	55 P · 68 GP	$9.06M	$10.44M	B+$1.4M	85%
Adam Fox	87	Offensive QB	53 P · 55 GP	$9.50M	$10.84M	B+$1.3M	85%
Matthew Schaefer	85	Offensive QB	59 P · 82 GP	$0.97M	$10.05M	A++$9.1M	84%

Chemistry

Top connection: Nathan MacKinnon · 27 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Cale’s goals

Creates for

goals Cale assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

12 pts · 1 G · 11 A · 28 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.8 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs PIT

1P

0G 1A

vs PIT 03-16

0G 1A · 4 shots · 21:31 TOI

vs DAL

1P

1G 0A

vs DAL 03-18

1G 0A · 4 shots · 24:39 TOI

@ CHI

1P

0G 1A

@ CHI 03-20

0G 1A · 4 shots · 23:54 TOI

@ WSH

0P

0G 0A

@ WSH 03-22

0G 0A · 2 shots · 25:06 TOI

@ PIT

1P

0G 1A

@ PIT 03-24

0G 1A · 2 shots · 22:04 TOI

@ WPG

0P

0G 0A

@ WPG 03-26

0G 0A · 0 shots · 28:52 TOI

vs WPG

1P

0G 1A

vs WPG 03-28

0G 1A · 3 shots · 26:37 TOI

vs CGY

3P

0G 3A

vs CGY 03-30

0G 3A · 2 shots · 17:15 TOI

@ CGY

3P

0G 3A

@ CGY 04-14

0G 3A · 4 shots · 25:35 TOI

vs SEA

1P

0G 1A

vs SEA 04-16

0G 1A · 3 shots · 21:22 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)704 events shown

The office: the left circle - 6 of 20 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 32 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 116 blocks · 21 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2019-20	Colorado Avalanche	57	12	38	50	12
2020-21	Colorado Avalanche	44	8	36	44	17
2021-22	Colorado Avalanche	77	28	58	86	48
2022-23	Colorado Avalanche	60	17	49	66	16
2023-24	Colorado Avalanche	77	21	69	90	15
2024-25	Colorado Avalanche	80	30	62	92	28
2025-26	Colorado Avalanche	75	20	59	79	32
Career	1 team	470	136	371	507	168