Regular season

Connor Dewar

Pittsburgh Penguins · C · #19

Middle-six playerDepth Forward?Energy role: 144 hits (8.0/60)

HT: 5'10"
WT: 187 lb
Age: 27
Shoots: L
From: The Pas, CAN
Draft: 2018 MIN · R3 #92

65Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

5151pctl

4141pctl

6161pctl

6161pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.3845pctl

0.1848pctl

0.2141pctl

1.447pctl

+1692pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

6.3%67pctl

2.3671pctl

0.1042pctl

Def Suppression?

0.5868pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

47.4%37pctl

D-Zone FO %?

44.6%32pctl

1.519pctl

0.2726pctl

0:0210pctl

2:4199pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 48 GP tracked · 11h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

48.0%35pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

57.7%82pctl

O-zone deployment?

17%0pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.3 min42pctl

Support received?

16.8 min66pctl

D-zone deployment?

83%100pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0536pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.7244pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.2538pctl

0.99×47pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.23/gm43pctl

Pressure escape rate?

4.8%3pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 874 EV min

General Offense

6.1860

8.6563

Shot Setups/60?

1.2472

Chance Setups/60?

0.8258

Primary Contributions/60?

7.4163

Rebounds Created/60?

0.4854

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.1476

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.6256

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.2131

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0775

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.1455

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

2.2684

Rush Offense/60?

10.4381

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.8970

0.7546

0.0730

Deflections/60?

1.6565

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.2777

Entries Finished/60?

1.3083

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.6976

Entry → Chance %?

53%30

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

0.6919

0.2139

0.4819

Retrieval Success %?

30%62

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0771

Exit Success %?

10%81

Forechecking

5.5669

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$1.10M

cap hit

$3.17M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$2.1M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Connor Dewar	65	Depth Forward	30 P · 78 GP	$1.10M	$3.17M	A+$2.1M	this player
Jack McBain	63	Wrecking Ball	25 P · 75 GP	$4.25M	$2.68M	D−$1.6M	86%
Matt Savoie	67	Depth Forward	37 P · 82 GP	$0.89M	$3.68M	A+$2.8M	84%
Jake Evans	63	Depth Forward	24 P · 68 GP	$2.85M	$2.68M	C−$0.2M	82%
Pius Suter	67	Depth Forward	29 P · 64 GP	$4.13M	$3.68M	C−$0.4M	80%

Chemistry

Top connection: Noel Acciari · 9 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Connor’s goals

Creates for

goals Connor assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

3 pts · 0 G · 3 A · 7 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.6 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs WPG

0P

0G 0A

vs WPG 03-21

0G 0A · 0 shots · 15:32 TOI

vs CAR

0P

0G 0A

vs CAR 03-22

0G 0A · 0 shots · 14:33 TOI

vs COL

0P

0G 0A

vs COL 03-24

0G 0A · 0 shots · 12:58 TOI

@ OTT

0P

0G 0A

@ OTT 03-26

0G 0A · 2 shots · 18:14 TOI

vs DAL

0P

0G 0A

vs DAL 03-28

0G 0A · 0 shots · 15:35 TOI

@ NYI

1P

0G 1A

@ NYI 03-30

0G 1A · 1 shots · 15:08 TOI

vs DET

1P

0G 1A

vs DET 03-31

0G 1A · 2 shots · 13:57 TOI

@ TBL

0P

0G 0A

@ TBL 04-02

0G 0A · 0 shots · 13:11 TOI

vs FLA

1P

0G 1A

vs FLA 04-04

0G 1A · 1 shots · 14:22 TOI

vs FLA

0P

0G 0A

vs FLA 04-05

0G 0A · 1 shots · 18:30 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)280 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 8 of 14 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 19 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 60 blocks · 3 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2021-22	Minnesota Wild	35	2	4	6	-4
2022-23	Minnesota Wild	81	6	12	18	-5
2023-24	Minnesota Wild	57	10	4	14	-6
2023-24	Toronto Maple Leafs	17	1	4	5	-2
2024-25	Toronto Maple Leafs	31	0	3	3	-3
2024-25	Pittsburgh Penguins	17	4	3	7	0
2025-26	Pittsburgh Penguins	78	14	16	30	16
Career	3 teams	316	37	46	83	-4