
Erik Karlsson
Pittsburgh Penguins · D · #65- HT
- 6'0"
- WT
- 185 lb
- Age
- 36
- Shoots
- R
- From
- Landsbro, SWE
- Draft
- 2008 OTT · R1 #15
Alpha sub-scores
what drives the rating · percentile vs position groupLeague profile
vs. defensemen with 20+ GPHockeyAlpha advanced
event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzedDefenseman toolkit
vs. defensemen with 20+ GPOn-ice impact
shift charts × our xG model · 47 GP tracked · 19h TOIUsage profile
assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher jobMicro-metrics
Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com
The Blueprint
Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1379 EV minGeneral Offense
Playmaking Sequences
Offense Types
Zone Entries
DZ Retrievals / Exits
Forechecking
Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed.
Contract & market
Contract value?
beta · cap data: CapWages$11.50M
cap hit
$8.53M
Alpha-market value
F
Well above market (−$3.0M)
Top comparables?
nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit| Player | Alpha | Archetype | Production | Cap hit | Market | Value | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Erik Karlsson | 81 | Offensive QB | 66 P · 75 GP | $11.50M | $8.53M | F−$3.0M | this player |
Rasmus Dahlin | 82 | Offensive QB | 74 P · 77 GP | $11.00M | $8.90M | D−$2.1M | 92% |
Zach Werenski | 83 | Offensive QB | 81 P · 75 GP | $9.58M | $9.28M | C−$0.3M | 90% |
Evan Bouchard | 83 | Offensive QB | 95 P · 82 GP | $10.50M | $9.28M | D−$1.2M | 90% |
Josh Morrissey | 80 | Offensive QB | 55 P · 77 GP | $6.25M | $8.16M | B+$1.9M | 89% |
Chemistry
Top connection: Sidney Crosby · 14 goals together
Finishes from
assisters on Erik’s goals
From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.
Recent form · last 10 games
vs COL
0P
0G 0A
vs COL 03-24
0G 0A · 1 shots · 23:53 TOI
@ OTT
3P
1G 2A
@ OTT 03-26
1G 2A · 8 shots · 26:08 TOI
vs DAL
3P
1G 2A
vs DAL 03-28
1G 2A · 1 shots · 24:47 TOI
@ NYI
0P
0G 0A
@ NYI 03-30
0G 0A · 2 shots · 19:41 TOI
vs DET
0P
0G 0A
vs DET 03-31
0G 0A · 4 shots · 22:48 TOI
@ TBL
0P
0G 0A
@ TBL 04-02
0G 0A · 3 shots · 23:48 TOI
vs FLA
4P
1G 3A
vs FLA 04-04
1G 3A · 2 shots · 20:30 TOI
vs FLA
0P
0G 0A
vs FLA 04-05
0G 0A · 2 shots · 21:27 TOI
@ NJD
2P
1G 1A
@ NJD 04-09
1G 1A · 2 shots · 22:30 TOI
@ WSH
0P
0G 0A
@ WSH 04-12
0G 0A · 0 shots · 19:56 TOI
Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left
The Territory
attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end
The office: the left circle - 5 of 15 goals live there
Playmaking gravity: 39 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s
Defensive floor: 65 blocks · 21 steals inside the d-zone
NHL career · regular season
| Season | Team | GP | G | A | P | +/− |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2009-10 | Ottawa Senators | 60 | 5 | 21 | 26 | -5 |
| 2010-11 | Ottawa Senators | 75 | 13 | 32 | 45 | -30 |
| 2011-12 | Ottawa Senators | 81 | 19 | 59 | 78 | 16 |
| 2012-13 | Ottawa Senators | 17 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 8 |
| 2013-14 | Ottawa Senators | 82 | 20 | 54 | 74 | -15 |
| 2014-15 | Ottawa Senators | 82 | 21 | 45 | 66 | 7 |
| 2015-16 | Ottawa Senators | 82 | 16 | 66 | 82 | -2 |
| 2016-17 | Ottawa Senators | 77 | 17 | 54 | 71 | 10 |
| 2017-18 | Ottawa Senators | 71 | 9 | 53 | 62 | -25 |
| 2018-19 | San Jose Sharks | 53 | 3 | 42 | 45 | 6 |
| 2019-20 | San Jose Sharks | 56 | 6 | 34 | 40 | -15 |
| 2020-21 | San Jose Sharks | 52 | 8 | 14 | 22 | -18 |
| 2021-22 | San Jose Sharks | 50 | 10 | 25 | 35 | -14 |
| 2022-23 | San Jose Sharks | 82 | 25 | 76 | 101 | -26 |
| 2023-24 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 82 | 11 | 45 | 56 | 4 |
| 2024-25 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 82 | 11 | 42 | 53 | -24 |
| 2025-26 | Pittsburgh Penguins | 75 | 15 | 51 | 66 | 8 |
| Career | 3 teams | 1159 | 215 | 721 | 936 | -115 |












