Regular season

Thomas Chabot

Ottawa Senators · D · #72

Top-pair DTwo-Way D?Trusted both ways: 31 points, 111 blocks

HT: 6'1"
WT: 200 lb
Age: 29
Shoots: L
From: Sainte-Marie, CAN
Draft: 2015 OTT · R1 #18

85Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

7676pctl

8282pctl

8383pctl

8181pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.5488pctl

0.1283pctl

0.4288pctl

1.783pctl

+669pctl

781pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

3.3%35pctl

3.2587pctl

0.2284pctl

Def Suppression?

1.2597pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

1.9591pctl

5.1776pctl

Blocks / 100 shifts?

7.179pctl

1.731pctl

0.4291pctl

2:2389pctl

1:3755pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 31 GP tracked · 12h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

54.1%83pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

53.1%66pctl

O-zone deployment?

56%76pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.5 min54pctl

Support received?

16.7 min71pctl

D-zone deployment?

44%24pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0537pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.4128pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.2539pctl

1.00×55pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.25/gm37pctl

Pressure escape rate?

10.0%89pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1059 EV min

General Offense

3.9163

4.0274

Shot Setups/60?

1.1379

Chance Setups/60?

0.9677

Primary Contributions/60?

5.0469

Rebounds Created/60?

0.2842

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0031

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.7989

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.2369

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0035

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.1156

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.8765

Rush Offense/60?

6.4070

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.4576

0.1736

0.0026

Deflections/60?

0.0649

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0031

Entries Finished/60?

0.2337

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.0635

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

2.7853

0.5160

2.2754

Retrieval Success %?

18%53

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0037

Exit Success %?

0%37

Forechecking

0.4052

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0048

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$8.00M

cap hit

$10.05M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$2.1M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Thomas Chabot	85	Two-Way D	31 P · 57 GP	$8.00M	$10.05M	A+$2.1M	this player
Brandt Clarke	84	Two-Way D	40 P · 82 GP	$0.86M	$9.66M	A++$8.8M	89%
Thomas Harley	85	Two-Way D	36 P · 70 GP	$4.00M	$10.05M	A++$6.1M	88%
Moritz Seider	86	Two-Way D	60 P · 82 GP	$8.55M	$10.44M	B+$1.9M	84%
Lane Hutson	89	Two-Way D	78 P · 82 GP	$0.95M	$12.00M	A++$11.0M	84%

Chemistry

Top connection: David Perron · 5 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Thomas’s goals

Creates for

goals Thomas assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

4 pts · 1 G · 3 A · 16 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ VAN

1P

0G 1A

@ VAN 03-09

0G 1A · 0 shots · 24:29 TOI

vs MTL

0P

0G 0A

vs MTL 03-11

0G 0A · 4 shots · 28:32 TOI

vs ANA

1P

1G 0A

vs ANA 03-14

1G 0A · 2 shots · 27:24 TOI

vs SJS

0P

0G 0A

vs SJS 03-15

0G 0A · 0 shots · 28:29 TOI

@ WSH

1P

0G 1A

@ WSH 03-18

0G 1A · 2 shots · 28:06 TOI

vs NYI

0P

0G 0A

vs NYI 03-19

0G 0A · 1 shots · 30:53 TOI

vs TOR

1P

0G 1A

vs TOR 03-21

0G 1A · 3 shots · 28:36 TOI

@ NYR

0P

0G 0A

@ NYR 03-23

0G 0A · 1 shots · 10:21 TOI

vs FLA

0P

0G 0A

vs FLA 04-09

0G 0A · 1 shots · 21:16 TOI

@ NYI

0P

0G 0A

@ NYI 04-11

0G 0A · 2 shots · 24:11 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)391 events shown

The office: the high slot - 3 of 7 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 25 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 110 blocks · 15 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2016-17	Ottawa Senators	1	0	0	0	-2
2017-18	Ottawa Senators	63	9	16	25	-12
2018-19	Ottawa Senators	70	14	41	55	-12
2019-20	Ottawa Senators	71	6	33	39	-18
2020-21	Ottawa Senators	49	6	25	31	-15
2021-22	Ottawa Senators	59	7	31	38	-3
2022-23	Ottawa Senators	68	11	30	41	-11
2023-24	Ottawa Senators	51	9	21	30	-3
2024-25	Ottawa Senators	80	9	36	45	17
2025-26	Ottawa Senators	57	7	24	31	6
Career	1 team	569	78	257	335	-53