Regular season

Thomas Harley

Dallas Stars · D · #55

Top-pair DTwo-Way D?Trusted both ways: 36 points, 148 blocks

HT: 6'3"
WT: 214 lb
Age: 24
Shoots: L
From: Syracuse, USA
Draft: 2019 DAL · R1 #18

85Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

7272pctl

8585pctl

8080pctl

8585pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

0.5186pctl

0.0969pctl

0.4389pctl

1.680pctl

+359pctl

781pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

3.4%36pctl

2.5977pctl

0.2589pctl

Def Suppression?

1.4199pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP

2.1195pctl

5.5084pctl

Blocks / 100 shifts?

8.596pctl

1.424pctl

0.4391pctl

1:3881pctl

1:2245pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 44 GP tracked · 17h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

48.9%43pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

50.0%52pctl

O-zone deployment?

50%50pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.6 min61pctl

Support received?

16.4 min80pctl

D-zone deployment?

50%50pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0640pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.3023pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.1721pctl

1.04×81pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.26/gm33pctl

Pressure escape rate?

7.3%37pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1404 EV min

General Offense

3.9365

3.6368

Shot Setups/60?

1.0776

Chance Setups/60?

0.9880

Primary Contributions/60?

5.0069

Rebounds Created/60?

0.3860

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0030

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.6888

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.2167

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0466

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.1363

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.8062

Rush Offense/60?

6.0361

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.2645

0.2148

0.1377

Deflections/60?

0.0022

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0030

Entries Finished/60?

0.2134

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.0945

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

2.9565

0.7786

2.1847

Retrieval Success %?

26%83

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0036

Exit Success %?

0%36

Forechecking

0.6475

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0048

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$4.00M

cap hit

$10.05M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A+

Massive surplus value (+$6.1M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Thomas Harley	85	Two-Way D	36 P · 70 GP	$4.00M	$10.05M	A++$6.1M	this player
Thomas Chabot	85	Two-Way D	31 P · 57 GP	$8.00M	$10.05M	A+$2.1M	88%
Brandt Clarke	84	Two-Way D	40 P · 82 GP	$0.86M	$9.66M	A++$8.8M	84%
Brock Faber	85	Offensive QB	51 P · 80 GP	$8.50M	$10.05M	B+$1.6M	83%
Noah Dobson	85	Shutdown Anchor	47 P · 80 GP	$9.50M	$10.05M	C+$0.6M	79%

Chemistry

Top connection: Wyatt Johnston · 7 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Thomas’s goals

Creates for

goals Thomas assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

3 pts · 0 G · 3 A · 15 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.6 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ PIT

0P

0G 0A

@ PIT 03-28

0G 0A · 0 shots · 20:44 TOI

@ PHI

0P

0G 0A

@ PHI 03-29

0G 0A · 1 shots · 25:09 TOI

@ BOS

0P

0G 0A

@ BOS 03-31

0G 0A · 0 shots · 21:39 TOI

vs WPG

0P

0G 0A

vs WPG 04-02

0G 0A · 2 shots · 19:56 TOI

vs COL

0P

0G 0A

vs COL 04-04

0G 0A · 1 shots · 22:24 TOI

vs CGY

1P

0G 1A

vs CGY 04-07

0G 1A · 1 shots · 20:11 TOI

vs MIN

1P

0G 1A

vs MIN 04-09

0G 1A · 1 shots · 25:17 TOI

vs NYR

0P

0G 0A

vs NYR 04-11

0G 0A · 3 shots · 26:26 TOI

@ TOR

1P

0G 1A

@ TOR 04-13

0G 1A · 2 shots · 24:24 TOI

@ BUF

0P

0G 0A

@ BUF 04-15

0G 0A · 4 shots · 22:45 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)476 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 2 of 6 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 27 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 148 blocks · 21 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2021-22	Dallas Stars	34	1	3	4	-4
2022-23	Dallas Stars	6	0	2	2	5
2023-24	Dallas Stars	79	15	32	47	28
2024-25	Dallas Stars	78	16	34	50	32
2025-26	Dallas Stars	70	6	30	36	3
Career	1 team	267	38	101	139	64