Regular season

Carl Grundstrom

Philadelphia Flyers · RW · #91

Bottom-six playerWrecking Ball?139 hits (15.0/60) - physically tilts every shift

HT: 6'0"
WT: 200 lb
Age: 28
Shoots: L
From: Umea, SWE
Draft: 2016 TOR · R2 #57

60Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

4444pctl

2323pctl

4040pctl

6363pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.2830pctl

0.1951pctl

0.099pctl

1.234pctl

+780pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

4.9%55pctl

1.7349pctl

0.0624pctl

Def Suppression?

0.5665pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

6.037pctl

15.091pctl

0.3360pctl

2.4777pctl

0:027pctl

0:4567pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 35 GP tracked · 7h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

46.3%23pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

58.1%84pctl

O-zone deployment?

46%36pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.1 min30pctl

Support received?

17.1 min53pctl

D-zone deployment?

54%64pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0747pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.9055pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.3049pctl

1.05×86pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.26/gm33pctl

Pressure escape rate?

6.7%23pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 521 EV min

General Offense

5.8754

7.3745

Shot Setups/60?

0.4621

Chance Setups/60?

0.1216

Primary Contributions/60?

6.3447

Rebounds Created/60?

0.3536

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.1268

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.2321

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.1222

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0038

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0023

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.0431

Rush Offense/60?

9.5671

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.8162

0.9260

0.0022

Deflections/60?

2.3080

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.1250

Entries Finished/60?

1.1575

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.8178

Entry → Chance %?

70%62

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

0.3517

0.0019

0.3519

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0036

Forechecking

10.4879

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.1281

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$1.80M

cap hit

$2.03M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.2M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Carl Grundstrom	60	Wrecking Ball	13 P · 47 GP	$1.80M	$2.03M	C+$0.2M	this player
Jeffrey Truchon-Viel	58	Depth Forward	10 P · 45 GP	$0.78M	$1.64M	B+$0.9M	90%
Danton Heinen	57	Depth Forward	12 P · 46 GP	$2.25M	$1.46M	D−$0.8M	88%
Andrew Mangiapane	57	Depth Forward	16 P · 62 GP	$3.60M	$1.46M	D−$2.1M	86%
Kailer Yamamoto	61	Depth Forward	23 P · 59 GP	$0.78M	$2.24M	B+$1.5M	86%

Chemistry

Top connection: Rodrigo Abols · 4 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Carl’s goals

Creates for

goals Carl assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

1 pts · 1 G · 0 A · 12 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ LAK

0P

0G 0A

@ LAK 03-19

0G 0A · 1 shots · 15:00 TOI

@ SJS

0P

0G 0A

@ SJS 03-21

0G 0A · 1 shots · 8:51 TOI

vs CBJ

0P

0G 0A

vs CBJ 03-24

0G 0A · 0 shots · 9:50 TOI

vs CHI

0P

0G 0A

vs CHI 03-26

0G 0A · 2 shots · 13:09 TOI

@ DET

0P

0G 0A

@ DET 03-28

0G 0A · 1 shots · 11:22 TOI

vs DAL

0P

0G 0A

vs DAL 03-29

0G 0A · 4 shots · 12:18 TOI

@ WSH

1P

1G 0A

@ WSH 03-31

1G 0A · 1 shots · 10:46 TOI

vs DET

0P

0G 0A

vs DET 04-02

0G 0A · 0 shots · 9:58 TOI

vs BOS

0P

0G 0A

vs BOS 04-05

0G 0A · 1 shots · 10:57 TOI

vs MTL

0P

0G 0A

vs MTL 04-14

0G 0A · 1 shots · 13:10 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)111 events shown

The office: the right circle - 4 of 9 goals live there

Defensive floor: 31 blocks · 0 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2018-19	Los Angeles Kings	15	5	1	6	-4
2019-20	Los Angeles Kings	13	0	4	4	2
2020-21	Los Angeles Kings	47	6	5	11	-10
2021-22	Los Angeles Kings	54	9	6	15	4
2022-23	Los Angeles Kings	57	12	7	19	-4
2023-24	Los Angeles Kings	50	8	4	12	-2
2024-25	San Jose Sharks	56	3	6	9	-21
2025-26	Philadelphia Flyers	47	9	4	13	7
Career	3 teams	339	52	37	89	-28