HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Mikhail Sergachev

Utah Mammoth · D · #98
Top-pair DTwo-Way D?Trusted both ways: 59 points, 125 blocks
HT
6'3"
WT
212 lb
Age
28
Shoots
L
From
Nizhnekamsk, RUS
Draft
2016 MTL · R1 #9
82Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
8080pctl
Playmaking?
7777pctl
Transition?
8585pctl
Defense?
5454pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.7694pctl
Goals / GP?
0.1384pctl
Assists / GP?
0.6394pctl
Shots / GP?
2.090pctl
Plus/Minus?
+254pctl
PP Points?
2697pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
3.6%39pctl
ZEIS?
2.9583pctl
PSPL?
0.1459pctl
Def Suppression?
0.5868pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Blocks / GP?
1.6075pctl
Blocks / 60?
3.9546pctl
Hits / 60?
1.220pctl
Take : Give?
0.3065pctl
PP TOI / GP?
3:1094pctl
PK TOI / GP?
2:5293pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 44 GP tracked · 18h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.9 min88pctl
Support received?
16.9 min62pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 1424 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$8.50M

cap hit

$8.90M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

C

Fair market deal (+$0.4M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Mikhail Sergachev82$8.50MC+$0.4Mthis player
Josh Morrissey80$6.25MB+$1.9M86%
John Carlson84$8.00MB+$1.7M86%
Jakob Chychrun85$9.00MB+$1.1M85%
Miro Heiskanen85$8.45MB+$1.6M84%

Chemistry

Top connection: Dylan Guenther · 15 goals together

Recent form · last 10 games

13 pts · 0 G · 13 A · 23 shots in last 10Cooling off(-1.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs WSH

3P

0G 3A

@ LAK

4P

0G 4A

@ SEA

1P

0G 1A

@ VAN

1P

0G 1A

vs EDM

1P

0G 1A

vs NSH

1P

0G 1A

vs CAR

1P

0G 1A

@ CGY

0P

0G 0A

vs WPG

1P

0G 1A

vs STL

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)523 events shown

The office: the high slot - 3 of 10 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 23 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 124 blocks · 22 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2016-17Montréal Canadiens40001
2017-18Tampa Bay Lightning799314011
2018-19Tampa Bay Lightning756263212
2019-20Tampa Bay Lightning7010243415
2020-21Tampa Bay Lightning56426305
2021-22Tampa Bay Lightning78731386
2022-23Tampa Bay Lightning7910546413
2023-24Tampa Bay Lightning3421719-16
2024-25Utah Hockey Club77153853-8
2025-26Utah Mammoth781049592
Career4 teams6307329636941