Regular season

Barrett Hayton

Utah Mammoth · C · #27

Middle-six playerDepth Forward?25 points in 67 games in a supporting role

HT: 6'1"
WT: 200 lb
Age: 26
Shoots: L
From: Peterborough, CAN
Draft: 2018 ARI · R1 #5

67Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

5454pctl

5656pctl

5050pctl

5555pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.3742pctl

0.1538pctl

0.2248pctl

1.865pctl

+370pctl

659pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

8%79pctl

1.7752pctl

0.1770pctl

Def Suppression?

0.4654pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

52.6%72pctl

D-Zone FO %?

53.5%73pctl

11.671pctl

0.3344pctl

2:0169pctl

0:1134pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 35 GP tracked · 9h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

54.5%86pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

46.9%36pctl

O-zone deployment?

45%30pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.7 min75pctl

Support received?

17.6 min39pctl

D-zone deployment?

55%70pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.1175pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.7589pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.6293pctl

0.97×37pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.14/gm83pctl

Pressure escape rate?

7.6%45pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 865 EV min

General Offense

6.3863

9.0970

Shot Setups/60?

1.0458

Chance Setups/60?

0.9065

Primary Contributions/60?

7.4264

Rebounds Created/60?

0.6270

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0028

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.7670

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.4266

Deflection Setups/60?

0.1485

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.0019

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.6059

Rush Offense/60?

7.4946

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.9071

1.3984

0.2165

Deflections/60?

2.5086

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.1455

Entries Finished/60?

0.8359

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.6977

Entry → Chance %?

83%84

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.1148

0.1429

0.9760

Retrieval Success %?

13%23

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0034

Exit Success %?

0%31

Forechecking

1.5325

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$2.65M

cap hit

$3.68M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$1.0M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Barrett Hayton	67	Depth Forward	25 P · 67 GP	$2.65M	$3.68M	B+$1.0M	this player
Brayden Schenn	70	Depth Forward	39 P · 80 GP	$6.50M	$4.50M	D−$2.0M	87%
Sean Monahan	70	Depth Forward	36 P · 78 GP	$5.50M	$4.50M	D−$1.0M	87%
Justin Sourdif	68	Depth Forward	35 P · 78 GP	$0.82M	$3.94M	A+$3.1M	85%
Shane Wright	65	Depth Forward	27 P · 74 GP	$0.89M	$3.17M	A+$2.3M	84%

Chemistry

Top connection: Mikhail Sergachev · 4 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Barrett’s goals

Creates for

goals Barrett assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

3 pts · 2 G · 1 A · 15 shots in last 10Steady(+0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ CBJ

0P

0G 0A

@ CBJ 03-07

0G 0A · 3 shots · 15:34 TOI

@ CHI

1P

1G 0A

@ CHI 03-09

1G 0A · 2 shots · 14:40 TOI

@ MIN

0P

0G 0A

@ MIN 03-10

0G 0A · 1 shots · 14:57 TOI

vs CHI

0P

0G 0A

vs CHI 03-12

0G 0A · 0 shots · 15:56 TOI

vs PIT

0P

0G 0A

vs PIT 03-14

0G 0A · 2 shots · 15:09 TOI

@ DAL

0P

0G 0A

@ DAL 03-16

0G 0A · 2 shots · 16:57 TOI

@ VGK

2P

1G 1A

@ VGK 03-19

1G 1A · 2 shots · 14:01 TOI

vs ANA

0P

0G 0A

vs ANA 03-20

0G 0A · 3 shots · 14:44 TOI

vs LAK

0P

0G 0A

vs LAK 03-22

0G 0A · 0 shots · 17:29 TOI

vs EDM

0P

0G 0A

vs EDM 03-24

0G 0A · 0 shots · 0:17 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)447 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 6 of 10 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 16 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 47 blocks · 3 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2019-20	Arizona Coyotes	20	1	3	4	2
2020-21	Arizona Coyotes	14	2	1	3	-1
2021-22	Arizona Coyotes	60	10	14	24	-8
2022-23	Arizona Coyotes	82	19	24	43	-5
2023-24	Arizona Coyotes	33	3	7	10	-13
2024-25	Utah Hockey Club	82	20	26	46	-6
2025-26	Utah Mammoth	67	10	15	25	3
Career	3 teams	358	65	90	155	-28