Regular season

Clayton Keller

Utah Mammoth · RW · #9

First-line playerPlaymaker?62 assists · PSPL 0.29 - creates the danger before the shot

HT: 5'10"
WT: 175 lb
Age: 28
Shoots: L
From: Chesterfield, USA
Draft: 2016 ARI · R1 #7

88Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

8080pctl

8888pctl

7878pctl

2727pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

1.0795pctl

0.3281pctl

0.7697pctl

2.792pctl

+2196pctl

2795pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

10.3%89pctl

3.2087pctl

0.2993pctl

Def Suppression?

0.2425pctl

Winger toolkit

vs. wingers with 20+ GP

8.683pctl

0.31pctl

0.2530pctl

1.2223pctl

3:1790pctl

0:0130pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 48 GP tracked · 15h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

56.0%90pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

60.6%91pctl

O-zone deployment?

66%97pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.8 min78pctl

Support received?

18.9 min9pctl

D-zone deployment?

34%3pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0961pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.3678pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.3355pctl

1.00×59pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.13/gm85pctl

Pressure escape rate?

8.0%54pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1295 EV min

General Offense

7.3280

8.5763

Shot Setups/60?

0.9753

Chance Setups/60?

0.9368

Primary Contributions/60?

8.3078

Rebounds Created/60?

0.4244

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0547

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.4637

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.5683

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0982

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.1457

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.7669

Rush Offense/60?

9.6477

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.6040

0.6030

0.0523

Deflections/60?

0.7015

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.0017

Entries Finished/60?

0.5126

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.2826

Entry → Chance %?

55%34

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

0.8326

0.2342

0.6028

Retrieval Success %?

28%58

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0976

Exit Success %?

11%87

Forechecking

0.7910

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0576

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$7.15M

cap hit

$10.46M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$3.3M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Clayton Keller	88	Playmaker	88 P · 82 GP	$7.15M	$10.46M	A+$3.3M	this player
Matthew Tkachuk	87	Top-Six Threat	34 P · 31 GP	$9.50M	$10.09M	C+$0.6M	89%
Brad Marchand	87	Dual Threat	54 P · 52 GP	$5.25M	$10.09M	A++$4.8M	89%
Troy Terry	85	Top-Six Threat	57 P · 61 GP	$7.00M	$9.36M	A+$2.4M	87%
Jesper Bratt	82	Playmaker	71 P · 82 GP	$7.88M	$8.30M	C+$0.4M	87%

Chemistry

Top connection: Nick Schmaltz · 33 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Clayton’s goals

Creates for

goals Clayton assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

20 pts · 4 G · 16 A · 22 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.8 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs WSH

3P

0G 3A

vs WSH 03-26

0G 3A · 4 shots · 23:36 TOI

@ LAK

2P

0G 2A

@ LAK 03-28

0G 2A · 2 shots · 16:52 TOI

@ SEA

1P

0G 1A

@ SEA 04-02

0G 1A · 3 shots · 19:00 TOI

@ VAN

4P

3G 1A

@ VAN 04-04

3G 1A · 3 shots · 17:21 TOI

vs EDM

2P

1G 1A

vs EDM 04-07

1G 1A · 3 shots · 19:35 TOI

vs NSH

3P

0G 3A

vs NSH 04-09

0G 3A · 2 shots · 17:39 TOI

vs CAR

1P

0G 1A

vs CAR 04-11

0G 1A · 0 shots · 22:08 TOI

@ CGY

1P

0G 1A

@ CGY 04-12

0G 1A · 2 shots · 19:21 TOI

vs WPG

1P

0G 1A

vs WPG 04-14

0G 1A · 2 shots · 20:59 TOI

vs STL

2P

0G 2A

vs STL 04-16

0G 2A · 1 shots · 20:14 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)429 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 7 of 26 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 32 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 33 blocks · 5 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2016-17	Arizona Coyotes	3	0	2	2	-3
2017-18	Arizona Coyotes	82	23	42	65	-7
2018-19	Arizona Coyotes	82	14	33	47	-21
2019-20	Arizona Coyotes	70	17	27	44	-6
2020-21	Arizona Coyotes	56	14	21	35	-5
2021-22	Arizona Coyotes	67	28	35	63	3
2022-23	Arizona Coyotes	82	37	49	86	-2
2023-24	Arizona Coyotes	78	33	43	76	-20
2024-25	Utah Hockey Club	81	30	60	90	-12
2025-26	Utah Mammoth	82	26	62	88	21
Career	3 teams	683	222	374	596	-52