HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Conor Timmins

Buffalo Sabres · D · #21
Third-pair DDepth Defenseman?81 blocks in 39 games of hard minutes
HT
6'3"
WT
213 lb
Age
27
Shoots
R
From
St. Catharines, CAN
Draft
2017 COL · R2 #32
64Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
2121pctl
Playmaking?
5151pctl
Transition?
2121pctl
Defense?
6464pctl

League profile

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.2132pctl
Goals / GP?
0.006pctl
Assists / GP?
0.2148pctl
Shots / GP?
1.150pctl
Plus/Minus?
-823pctl
PP Points?
027pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
1.2%7pctl
ZEIS?
0.142pctl
PSPL?
0.1147pctl
Def Suppression?
1.0493pctl

Defenseman toolkit

vs. defensemen with 20+ GP
Blocks / GP?
2.0895pctl
Blocks / 60?
6.6498pctl
Hits / 60?
2.446pctl
Take : Give?
0.1816pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:0110pctl
PK TOI / GP?
3:0295pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 21 GP tracked · 6h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.9 min85pctl
Support received?
17.0 min59pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs defensemen · center = median · 613 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$2.20M

cap hit

$3.09M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$0.9M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Conor Timmins64$2.20MB+$0.9Mthis player
Johnathan Kovacevic63$4.00MD$1.2M86%
Jonas Siegenthaler62$3.40MD$0.8M85%
Jacob Middleton67$4.35MC$0.4M84%
Ilya Lyubushkin60$3.25MD$1.1M82%

Chemistry

Finishes from

assisters on Conor’s goals

No credited connections yet.

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

2 pts · 0 G · 2 A · 13 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.4 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ EDM

0P

0G 0A

@ VAN

0P

0G 0A

@ SEA

0P

0G 0A

vs PHI

0P

0G 0A

vs BOS

0P

0G 0A

vs DET

1P

0G 1A

vs SEA

0P

0G 0A

@ NYR

1P

0G 1A

@ CHI

0P

0G 0A

vs DAL

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)197 events shown

Playmaking gravity: 14 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 81 blocks · 6 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2019-20Colorado Avalanche20002
2020-21Colorado Avalanche310776
2021-22Arizona Coyotes6000-6
2022-23Arizona Coyotes2000-2
2022-23Toronto Maple Leafs25212141
2023-24Toronto Maple Leafs2519109
2024-25Toronto Maple Leafs512682
2024-25Pittsburgh Penguins171679
2025-26Buffalo Sabres39088-8
Career5 teams1986485413