HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Tage Thompson

Buffalo Sabres · C · #72
First-line playerTransition Engine?ZEIS 5.61 with 222 rush shots - turns defense into offense
HT
6'6"
WT
220 lb
Age
28
Shoots
R
From
Phoenix, USA
Draft
2016 STL · R1 #26
89Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
9090pctl
Playmaking?
8484pctl
Transition?
9292pctl
Defense?
7575pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
1.0093pctl
Goals / GP?
0.4996pctl
Assists / GP?
0.5188pctl
Shots / GP?
3.497pctl
Plus/Minus?
-634pctl
PP Points?
2492pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
12.9%96pctl
ZEIS?
5.6199pctl
PSPL?
0.2892pctl
Def Suppression?
0.6574pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP
Faceoff %?
45.5%24pctl
D-Zone FO %?
44.4%31pctl
Draws / GP
10.668pctl
Take : Give?
0.4170pctl
PP TOI / GP?
3:3093pctl
PK TOI / GP?
0:0323pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 51 GP tracked · 17h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.8 min78pctl
Support received?
18.4 min19pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1271 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$7.14M

cap hit

$10.83M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$3.7M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Tage Thompson89$7.14MA+$3.7Mthis player
Wyatt Johnston90$8.40MA+$2.8M95%
Nick Schmaltz87$5.85MA++$4.2M88%
Nico Hischier85$7.25MA+$2.1M86%
Nick Suzuki91$7.88MA++$4.1M85%

Chemistry

Top connection: Peyton Krebs · 16 goals together

Recent form · last 10 games

9 pts · 4 G · 5 A · 33 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.6 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs BOS

2P

0G 2A

vs DET

1P

1G 0A

vs SEA

1P

0G 1A

vs NYI

2P

1G 1A

@ OTT

0P

0G 0A

@ WSH

0P

0G 0A

vs TBL

0P

0G 0A

@ NYR

1P

0G 1A

vs CBJ

0P

0G 0A

@ CHI

2P

2G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)815 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 10 of 40 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 40 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 55 blocks · 8 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2017-18St. Louis Blues41369-12
2018-19Buffalo Sabres657512-22
2019-20Buffalo Sabres10000
2020-21Buffalo Sabres388614-6
2021-22Buffalo Sabres78383068-17
2022-23Buffalo Sabres784747944
2023-24Buffalo Sabres71292756-1
2024-25Buffalo Sabres76442872-2
2025-26Buffalo Sabres81404181-6
Career2 teams529216190406-62