Regular season

Mark Kastelic

Boston Bruins · C · #47

Bottom-six playerFaceoff General?60.8% on 564 draws - possession starts with him

HT: 6'4"
WT: 234 lb
Age: 27
Shoots: R
From: Phoenix, USA
Draft: 2019 OTT · R5 #125

62Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

3939pctl

4545pctl

5252pctl

8484pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.2728pctl

0.1536pctl

0.1219pctl

1.236pctl

+677pctl

135pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

5.4%59pctl

2.0764pctl

0.1873pctl

Def Suppression?

0.7078pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

60.8%98pctl

D-Zone FO %?

60.8%98pctl

6.948pctl

0.7197pctl

0:0422pctl

2:0487pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 48 GP tracked · 10h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

46.5%24pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

53.1%66pctl

O-zone deployment?

35%9pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

16.8 min11pctl

Support received?

16.8 min64pctl

D-zone deployment?

65%91pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.0966pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

1.0866pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.4272pctl

0.98×46pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.25/gm37pctl

Pressure escape rate?

7.3%38pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 860 EV min

General Offense

5.7953

9.0770

Shot Setups/60?

1.2673

Chance Setups/60?

0.9165

Primary Contributions/60?

7.0559

Rebounds Created/60?

0.5663

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0028

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.6358

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.5681

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0776

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.2171

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.7568

Rush Offense/60?

8.2458

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.9876

1.6888

0.4988

Deflections/60?

2.2384

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.4285

Entries Finished/60?

0.7755

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.3537

Entry → Chance %?

45%20

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.3363

0.3561

0.9861

Retrieval Success %?

26%53

Exit Involvements/60?

0.1483

Exit Success %?

11%84

Forechecking

9.8482

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0042

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$1.57M

cap hit

$2.46M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$0.9M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Mark Kastelic	62	Faceoff General	22 P · 82 GP	$1.57M	$2.46M	B+$0.9M	this player
Morgan Barron	65	Depth Forward	23 P · 65 GP	$1.85M	$3.17M	B+$1.3M	87%
Noel Acciari	65	Depth Forward	25 P · 67 GP	$2.00M	$3.17M	B+$1.2M	87%
Jack Drury	61	Faceoff General	27 P · 82 GP	$1.73M	$2.24M	C+$0.5M	85%
Brendan Gaunce	59	Faceoff General	6 P · 25 GP	$0.78M	$1.83M	B+$1.1M	85%

Chemistry

Top connection: Sean Kuraly · 11 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Mark’s goals

Creates for

goals Mark assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

4 pts · 3 G · 1 A · 12 shots in last 10Heating up(+0.8 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs MIN

0P

0G 0A

vs MIN 03-28

0G 0A · 1 shots · 11:18 TOI

@ CBJ

0P

0G 0A

@ CBJ 03-29

0G 0A · 0 shots · 11:21 TOI

vs DAL

0P

0G 0A

vs DAL 03-31

0G 0A · 2 shots · 12:35 TOI

@ FLA

0P

0G 0A

@ FLA 04-02

0G 0A · 0 shots · 12:23 TOI

@ TBL

0P

0G 0A

@ TBL 04-04

0G 0A · 0 shots · 11:01 TOI

@ PHI

0P

0G 0A

@ PHI 04-05

0G 0A · 1 shots · 10:04 TOI

@ CAR

0P

0G 0A

@ CAR 04-07

0G 0A · 0 shots · 6:20 TOI

vs TBL

0P

0G 0A

vs TBL 04-11

0G 0A · 2 shots · 12:12 TOI

@ CBJ

2P

1G 1A

@ CBJ 04-12

1G 1A · 2 shots · 15:12 TOI

vs NJD

2P

2G 0A

vs NJD 04-14

2G 0A · 4 shots · 13:47 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)401 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 4 of 12 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 19 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 66 blocks · 12 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2021-22	Ottawa Senators	16	2	2	4	-1
2022-23	Ottawa Senators	65	7	4	11	-6
2023-24	Ottawa Senators	63	5	5	10	-5
2024-25	Boston Bruins	61	5	9	14	-3
2025-26	Boston Bruins	82	12	10	22	6
Career	2 teams	287	31	30	61	-9