Regular season

Morgan Barron

Winnipeg Jets · C · #36

Middle-six playerDepth Forward?Energy role: 132 hits (9.5/60)

HT: 6'4"
WT: 220 lb
Age: 27
Shoots: L
From: Halifax, CAN
Draft: 2017 NYR · R6 #174

65Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

4343pctl

5555pctl

4444pctl

7979pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.3539pctl

0.1745pctl

0.1837pctl

1.448pctl

+575pctl

016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

5.5%60pctl

1.7852pctl

0.2080pctl

Def Suppression?

0.6876pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

46.2%30pctl

D-Zone FO %?

46.3%37pctl

9.061pctl

0.5287pctl

0:0212pctl

1:5280pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 41 GP tracked · 9h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

45.8%20pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

54.3%71pctl

O-zone deployment?

31%5pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.5 min57pctl

Support received?

16.7 min70pctl

D-zone deployment?

69%95pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.1068pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.9055pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.3356pctl

1.02×72pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.27/gm31pctl

Pressure escape rate?

7.2%35pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 708 EV min

General Offense

6.6969

8.8164

Shot Setups/60?

1.6184

Chance Setups/60?

1.1076

Primary Contributions/60?

8.3175

Rebounds Created/60?

0.6874

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.3487

Center-Lane Setups/60?

1.1084

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.8586

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0878

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.2577

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

1.6160

Rush Offense/60?

9.3271

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.5940

1.0267

0.0019

Deflections/60?

2.1280

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.3481

Entries Finished/60?

0.9367

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.5157

Entry → Chance %?

55%36

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

1.2759

0.3459

0.9356

Retrieval Success %?

27%54

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0035

Exit Success %?

0%32

Forechecking

7.4675

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0043

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$1.85M

cap hit

$3.17M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$1.3M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Morgan Barron	65	Depth Forward	23 P · 65 GP	$1.85M	$3.17M	B+$1.3M	this player
Ryan Poehling	67	Depth Forward	36 P · 75 GP	$1.90M	$3.68M	B+$1.8M	88%
Cole Sillinger	67	Depth Forward	33 P · 81 GP	$2.25M	$3.68M	B+$1.4M	88%
Mark Kastelic	62	Faceoff General	22 P · 82 GP	$1.57M	$2.46M	B+$0.9M	87%
Noel Acciari	65	Depth Forward	25 P · 67 GP	$2.00M	$3.17M	B+$1.2M	85%

Chemistry

Top connection: Cole Koepke · 7 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Morgan’s goals

Creates for

goals Morgan assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

3 pts · 1 G · 2 A · 9 shots in last 10Cooling off(-0.6 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs COL

0P

0G 0A

vs COL 03-14

0G 0A · 2 shots · 13:19 TOI

vs STL

2P

0G 2A

vs STL 03-15

0G 2A · 0 shots · 16:02 TOI

vs NSH

0P

0G 0A

vs NSH 03-17

0G 0A · 1 shots · 14:00 TOI

@ BOS

0P

0G 0A

@ BOS 03-19

0G 0A · 0 shots · 11:30 TOI

@ PIT

1P

1G 0A

@ PIT 03-21

1G 0A · 1 shots · 15:25 TOI

@ NYR

0P

0G 0A

@ NYR 03-22

0G 0A · 1 shots · 13:46 TOI

vs VGK

0P

0G 0A

vs VGK 03-24

0G 0A · 2 shots · 13:47 TOI

vs COL

0P

0G 0A

vs COL 03-26

0G 0A · 0 shots · 11:27 TOI

@ DAL

0P

0G 0A

@ DAL 04-02

0G 0A · 1 shots · 14:05 TOI

@ CBJ

0P

0G 0A

@ CBJ 04-04

0G 0A · 1 shots · 12:59 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)342 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 6 of 11 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 20 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 50 blocks · 7 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2020-21	New York Rangers	5	1	0	1	-1
2021-22	New York Rangers	13	0	1	1	-1
2021-22	Winnipeg Jets	14	2	2	4	-3
2022-23	Winnipeg Jets	70	8	13	21	4
2023-24	Winnipeg Jets	80	11	7	18	10
2024-25	Winnipeg Jets	74	8	7	15	8
2025-26	Winnipeg Jets	65	11	12	23	5
Career	2 teams	321	41	42	83	22