Regular season

Fraser Minten

Boston Bruins · C · #93

Middle-six playerDepth Forward?Energy role: 142 hits (6.7/60)

HT: 6'2"
WT: 204 lb
Age: 22
Shoots: L
From: Vancouver, CAN
Draft: 2022 TOR · R2 #38

67Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group

5353pctl

4343pctl

6262pctl

9090pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP

0.4349pctl

0.2158pctl

0.2246pctl

1.447pctl

+2196pctl

346pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed

6.3%67pctl

2.6478pctl

0.1042pctl

Def Suppression?

0.8889pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP

49.3%50pctl

D-Zone FO %?

46.6%38pctl

10.266pctl

0.6896pctl

0:5849pctl

1:3369pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 48 GP tracked · 13h TOI

On-ice xG share (5v5)?

48.6%42pctl

On-ice goal share (5v5)?

57.8%82pctl

O-zone deployment?

59%85pctl

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job

Competition faced?

17.5 min54pctl

Support received?

17.4 min44pctl

D-zone deployment?

41%15pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

Cross-slot shots / GP?

0.1071pctl

Net-front presence / GP?

0.9557pctl

Second-chance touches / GP?

0.3559pctl

1.03×77pctl

Cross-slot suppressed?

0.22/gm52pctl

Pressure escape rate?

9.0%75pctl

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 1068 EV min

General Offense

5.0535

7.0236

Shot Setups/60?

0.7332

Chance Setups/60?

0.6742

Primary Contributions/60?

5.7834

Rebounds Created/60?

0.2826

Playmaking Sequences

Point Shot Setups/60?

0.0027

Center-Lane Setups/60?

0.5142

High-Danger Setups/60?

0.2846

Deflection Setups/60?

0.0670

One-Timer Setups/60?

0.1763

Offense Types

Cycle Offense/60?

2.0279

Rush Offense/60?

6.4028

Shots off HD Setups/60?

0.6242

0.7343

0.2268

Deflections/60?

1.1234

Zone Entries

Entries Started/60?

0.1763

Entries Finished/60?

0.6239

Entries w/ Chance/60?

0.2827

Entry → Chance %?

45%19

DZ Retrievals / Exits

DZ Involvements/60?

0.5615

0.3967

0.1710

Retrieval Success %?

70%91

Exit Involvements/60?

0.0034

Exit Success %?

0%30

Forechecking

6.4673

Dump-In Recoveries/60?

0.0680

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$0.82M

cap hit

$3.68M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

A

Team-friendly deal (+$2.9M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit

Player	Alpha	Archetype	Production	Cap hit	Market	Value	Match
Fraser Minten	67	Depth Forward	35 P · 82 GP	$0.82M	$3.68M	A+$2.9M	this player
Ridly Greig	67	Depth Forward	35 P · 77 GP	$3.25M	$3.68M	C+$0.4M	89%
Thomas Novak	70	Depth Forward	42 P · 82 GP	$3.50M	$4.50M	B+$1.0M	83%
Kirby Dach	67	Depth Forward	15 P · 37 GP	$3.36M	$3.68M	C+$0.3M	82%
Noel Acciari	65	Depth Forward	25 P · 67 GP	$2.00M	$3.17M	B+$1.2M	82%

Chemistry

Top connection: David Pastrnak · 10 goals together

Finishes from

assisters on Fraser’s goals

Creates for

goals Fraser assisted on

From official goal credits - scorer + assists on every goal, all season.

Recent form · last 10 games

3 pts · 1 G · 2 A · 14 shots in last 10Steady(-0.2 P/GP vs prior 5)

vs MIN

1P

0G 1A

vs MIN 03-28

0G 1A · 4 shots · 18:01 TOI

@ CBJ

0P

0G 0A

@ CBJ 03-29

0G 0A · 1 shots · 19:09 TOI

vs DAL

0P

0G 0A

vs DAL 03-31

0G 0A · 0 shots · 16:22 TOI

@ FLA

1P

1G 0A

@ FLA 04-02

1G 0A · 2 shots · 15:16 TOI

@ TBL

0P

0G 0A

@ TBL 04-04

0G 0A · 3 shots · 19:04 TOI

@ PHI

0P

0G 0A

@ PHI 04-05

0G 0A · 1 shots · 15:08 TOI

@ CAR

0P

0G 0A

@ CAR 04-07

0G 0A · 0 shots · 17:00 TOI

vs TBL

0P

0G 0A

vs TBL 04-11

0G 0A · 2 shots · 13:38 TOI

@ CBJ

0P

0G 0A

@ CBJ 04-12

0G 0A · 1 shots · 15:53 TOI

vs NJD

1P

0G 1A

vs NJD 04-14

0G 1A · 0 shots · 17:04 TOI

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit＋ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)497 events shown

The office: the inner slot - 8 of 17 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 15 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 59 blocks · 12 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

Season	Team	GP	G	A	P	+/−
2023-24	Toronto Maple Leafs	4	0	0	0	0
2024-25	Toronto Maple Leafs	15	2	2	4	-4
2024-25	Boston Bruins	6	1	0	1	-1
2025-26	Boston Bruins	82	17	18	35	21
Career	2 teams	107	20	20	40	16