HockeyAlpha
Regular season

Noel Acciari

Philadelphia Flyers · C · #55
Middle-six playerDepth Forward?Shot-eating depth: 62 blocks in 67 games
HT
5'11"
WT
204 lb
Age
34
Shoots
R
From
Johnston, USA
65Alpha?

Alpha sub-scores

what drives the rating · percentile vs position group
Scoring?
5050pctl
Playmaking?
4040pctl
Transition?
4747pctl
Defense?
8888pctl

League profile

vs. forwards with 20+ GP
Points / GP?
0.3742pctl
Goals / GP?
0.1952pctl
Assists / GP?
0.1834pctl
Shots / GP?
1.445pctl
Plus/Minus?
+1491pctl
PP Points?
016pctl

HockeyAlpha advanced

event-derived proxies · 1,312 games analyzed
xG Share?
5.6%62pctl
ZEIS?
1.8956pctl
PSPL?
0.1147pctl
Def Suppression?
1.0293pctl

Center toolkit

vs. centers with 20+ GP
Faceoff %?
52.0%66pctl
D-Zone FO %?
52.7%69pctl
Draws / GP
8.959pctl
Take : Give?
0.5589pctl
PP TOI / GP?
0:0422pctl
PK TOI / GP?
2:3597pctl

On-ice impact

shift charts × our xG model · 46 GP tracked · 10h TOI

Usage profile

assignment difficulty · higher fill = tougher job
Competition faced?
17.3 min40pctl
Support received?
16.8 min67pctl

Micro-metrics

Structural Metric Model · sequences, geometry & leverage from every shot

2025-26 regular season · Percentile beams: fill = league percentile, tick = league median · hockeyalpha.com

The Blueprint

Structural Event Engine · percentile vs forwards · center = median · 741 EV min

Derived from event sequences in public play-by-play data - the ? on each metric explains exactly how it's computed. · hockeyalpha.com

Contract & market

Contract value?

beta · cap data: CapWages

$2.00M

cap hit

$3.17M

Alpha-market value

overpaidmarketsurplus

B

Good value (+$1.2M)

Top comparables?

nearest profiles at the same role · match = statistical fit
PlayerAlphaCap hitValueMatch
Noel Acciari65$2.00MB+$1.2Mthis player
Mark Kastelic62$1.57MB+$0.9M87%
Morgan Barron65$1.85MB+$1.3M85%
Jack Drury61$1.73MC+$0.5M82%
Fraser Minten67$0.82MA+$2.9M82%

Chemistry

Top connection: Connor Dewar · 9 goals together

Recent form · last 10 games

6 pts · 4 G · 2 A · 14 shots in last 10Steady(+0.0 P/GP vs prior 5)

@ OTT

0P

0G 0A

vs DAL

1P

1G 0A

@ NYI

1P

0G 1A

vs DET

1P

1G 0A

@ TBL

0P

0G 0A

vs FLA

1P

1G 0A

vs FLA

0P

0G 0A

@ NJD

1P

0G 1A

vs WSH

1P

1G 0A

@ STL

0P

0G 0A

Tile tint = points that night · underline = shot volume (full bar = 8+ shots) · oldest on the left

The Territory

attacking → · every recorded touch, normalized to one end

attacking →← defending
Goal On goal Missed/blocked▲ takeaway▽ giveaway■ hit+ block◯ faceoff dot (size = wins)311 events shown

The office: the crease doorstep - 8 of 13 goals live there

Playmaking gravity: 14 touches that produced a teammate shot within 3s

Defensive floor: 73 blocks · 5 steals inside the d-zone

NHL career · regular season

SeasonTeamGPGAP+/−
2015-16Boston Bruins19011-4
2016-17Boston Bruins292353
2017-18Boston Bruins6010111-6
2018-19Boston Bruins726814-3
2019-20Florida Panthers66207272
2020-21Florida Panthers4147110
2021-22Florida Panthers203582
2022-23St. Louis Blues5410818-6
2022-23Toronto Maple Leafs234152
2023-24Pittsburgh Penguins55437-7
2024-25Pittsburgh Penguins795712-25
2025-26Pittsburgh Penguins6713122514
Career5 teams5858163144-28